Neo Concept Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| NCI Stock | USD 1.09 0.02 1.87% |
Neo Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Neo Concept's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 28th of January 2026, the value of RSI of Neo Concept's share price is approaching 43. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Neo Concept, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Neo Concept hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Neo Concept International Group from the perspective of Neo Concept response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Neo Concept International Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.30. Neo Concept after-hype prediction price | USD 1.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Neo Concept to cross-verify your projections. Neo Concept Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Neo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Neo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Neo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Neo Concept Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Neo Concept International Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.30.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Neo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Neo Concept's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Neo Concept Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Neo Concept | Neo Concept Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Neo Concept Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Neo Concept's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Neo Concept's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 10.53, respectively. We have considered Neo Concept's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Neo Concept stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Neo Concept stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.6911 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0704 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0548 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.2957 |
Predictive Modules for Neo Concept
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Neo Concept Internat. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Neo Concept's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Neo Concept After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Neo Concept at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Neo Concept or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Neo Concept, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Neo Concept Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Neo Concept's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Neo Concept's historical news coverage. Neo Concept's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 10.47, respectively. We have considered Neo Concept's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Neo Concept is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Neo Concept Internat is based on 3 months time horizon.
Neo Concept Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Neo Concept is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Neo Concept backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Neo Concept, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 9.38 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 14 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 14 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.09 | 1.09 | 0.00 |
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Neo Concept Hype Timeline
On the 28th of January Neo Concept Internat is traded for 1.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Neo is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Neo Concept is about 18760.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.08. About 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.58. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Neo Concept Internat has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.13. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of August 2019. The firm had 1:5 split on the 16th of June 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 14 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Neo Concept to cross-verify your projections.Neo Concept Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Neo Concept's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Neo Concept's future price movements. Getting to know how Neo Concept's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Neo Concept may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JEM | 707 Cayman Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 6.90 | (8.70) | 51.92 | |
| CREV | Carbon Revolution Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 10.19 | (14.04) | 57.57 | |
| SPHL | Springview Holdings Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 11.99 | 0.1 | 24.22 | (21.38) | 731.10 | |
| KXIN | Kaixin Auto Holdings | (0.09) | 5 per month | 17.75 | 0.03 | 26.58 | (30.11) | 89.96 | |
| GORV | Lazydays Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.42) | 15.45 | (29.81) | 63.56 | |
| WNW | Meiwu Technology Co | 0.03 | 5 per month | 5.77 | 0.01 | 11.72 | (10.16) | 25.24 | |
| XWEL | XWELL Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 4.11 | (8.06) | 37.15 | |
| CTNT | Cheetah Net Supply | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.57 | (5.04) | 15.61 | |
| EVTV | Envirotech Vehicles | (0.02) | 4 per month | 8.88 | 0.1 | 35.05 | (17.45) | 471.75 | |
| FTEL | Fitell Ordinary | (0.42) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 11.55 | (19.31) | 69.40 |
Other Forecasting Options for Neo Concept
For every potential investor in Neo, whether a beginner or expert, Neo Concept's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Neo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Neo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Neo Concept's price trends.Neo Concept Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Neo Concept stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Neo Concept could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Neo Concept by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Neo Concept Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Neo Concept stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Neo Concept shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Neo Concept stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Neo Concept International Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Neo Concept Risk Indicators
The analysis of Neo Concept's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Neo Concept's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting neo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.38 | |||
| Variance | 88.06 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Neo Concept
The number of cover stories for Neo Concept depends on current market conditions and Neo Concept's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Neo Concept is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Neo Concept's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Neo Concept Short Properties
Neo Concept's future price predictability will typically decrease when Neo Concept's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Neo Concept International Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Neo Concept's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Neo Concept's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Neo Concept to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Is there potential for Stock market expansion? Will Neo introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Neo Concept. Anticipated expansion of Neo directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Neo Concept listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Understanding Neo Concept Internat requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Neo's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Neo Concept's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Neo Concept's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Neo Concept's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Neo Concept should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Neo Concept's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.