InMode Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

INMD Stock  USD 17.70  0.14  0.78%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of InMode on the next trading day is expected to be 17.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.70. InMode Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast InMode stock prices and determine the direction of InMode's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of InMode's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, InMode's Asset Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 195 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 79.1 M.
Most investors in InMode cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the InMode's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets InMode's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the accuracy of the generated results. Triple exponential smoothing for InMode - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When InMode prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in InMode price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of InMode.

InMode Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of October

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of InMode on the next trading day is expected to be 17.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.70.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict InMode Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that InMode's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

InMode Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest InModeInMode Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

InMode Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting InMode's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. InMode's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.53 and 20.91, respectively. We have considered InMode's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
17.70
17.72
Expected Value
20.91
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of InMode stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent InMode stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0923
MADMean absolute deviation0.4449
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0271
SAESum of the absolute errors26.6954
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past InMode observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older InMode observations.

Predictive Modules for InMode

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as InMode. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of InMode's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.5017.6920.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.9322.7025.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.3916.5518.70
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
37.3141.0045.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as InMode. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against InMode's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, InMode's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in InMode.

Other Forecasting Options for InMode

For every potential investor in InMode, whether a beginner or expert, InMode's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. InMode Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in InMode. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying InMode's price trends.

InMode Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with InMode stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of InMode could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing InMode by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

InMode Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of InMode's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of InMode's current price.

InMode Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how InMode stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading InMode shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying InMode stock market strength indicators, traders can identify InMode entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

InMode Risk Indicators

The analysis of InMode's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in InMode's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting inmode stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether InMode is a strong investment it is important to analyze InMode's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact InMode's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding InMode Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of InMode to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade InMode Stock refer to our How to Trade InMode Stock guide.
You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of InMode. If investors know InMode will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about InMode listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.57)
Earnings Share
1.72
Revenue Per Share
4.96
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.36)
Return On Assets
0.1051
The market value of InMode is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of InMode that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of InMode's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is InMode's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because InMode's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect InMode's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between InMode's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if InMode is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, InMode's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.