ING Group Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

ING Stock  USD 28.63  0.09  0.31%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of ING Group NV on the next trading day is expected to be 28.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.84. ING Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ING Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of ING Group's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ING Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of ING Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from ING Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ING Group NV, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting ING Group's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.028
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.4496
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.393
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.6445
Wall Street Target Price
26.3
Using ING Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ING Group NV from the perspective of ING Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ING Group using ING Group's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ING using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ING Group's stock price.

ING Group Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in ING Group's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards ING. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of ING Group stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
23.7905
Short Percent
0.0015
Short Ratio
2.63
Shares Short Prior Month
2.6 M
50 Day MA
27.14

ING Group NV Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to ING Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ING. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ING can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ING Group NV. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

ING Group Implied Volatility

    
  0.38  
ING Group's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ING Group NV stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ING Group's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ING Group stock will not fluctuate a lot when ING Group's options are near their expiration.
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of ING Group NV on the next trading day is expected to be 28.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.84.

ING Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 28.67  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ING Group to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ING contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that ING Group NV will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0238% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With ING Group trading at USD 28.63, that is roughly USD 0.0068 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating ING Group's daily price movement you should consider acquiring ING Group NV options at the current volatility level of 0.38%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 ING Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast ING Group's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in ING Group's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for ING Group stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current ING Group's open interest, investors have to compare it to ING Group's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of ING Group is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in ING. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

ING Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ING price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ING using various technical indicators. When you analyze ING charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for ING Group NV is based on a synthetically constructed ING Groupdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

ING Group 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of ING Group NV on the next trading day is expected to be 28.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88, mean absolute percentage error of 0.97, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ING Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ING Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ING Group Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest ING GroupING Group Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

ING Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ING Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ING Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.07 and 29.86, respectively. We have considered ING Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
28.63
28.47
Expected Value
29.86
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ING Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ING Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria83.1587
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.8558
MADMean absolute deviation0.8771
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0318
SAESum of the absolute errors36.8385
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. ING Group NV 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for ING Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ING Group NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.2828.6730.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.7732.5933.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
26.0027.7929.58
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
23.9326.3029.19
Details

ING Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ING Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ING Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ING Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

ING Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting ING Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ING Group's historical news coverage. ING Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.28 and 30.06, respectively. We have considered ING Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
28.63
28.67
After-hype Price
30.06
Upside
ING Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ING Group NV is based on 3 months time horizon.

ING Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ING Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ING Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ING Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.29 
1.39
  0.04 
  0.07 
5 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
28.63
28.67
0.14 
992.86  
Notes

ING Group Hype Timeline

On the 24th of January ING Group NV is traded for 28.63. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. ING is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 28.67 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on ING Group is about 601.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.56. The company reported the last year's revenue of 66.41 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 9.3 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 20.04 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ING Group to cross-verify your projections.

ING Group Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to ING Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ING Group's future price movements. Getting to know how ING Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ING Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BCSBarclays PLC ADR(0.46)28 per month 0.91  0.26  2.85 (2.06) 7.21 
CMCanadian Imperial Bank 0.94 10 per month 0.87  0.14  1.42 (1.62) 6.42 
BNSBank of Nova(1.46)10 per month 0.72  0.19  1.65 (1.04) 6.23 
NUNu Holdings(0.14)8 per month 1.61  0.09  4.33 (2.70) 10.26 
ITUBItau Unibanco Banco(0.05)11 per month 1.55  0.18  2.71 (2.15) 9.71 
USBUS Bancorp(0.05)10 per month 0.82  0.16  2.52 (1.35) 6.01 
WFCWells Fargo(1.73)5 per month 1.38 (0.03) 2.15 (1.95) 8.12 
BMOBank of Montreal(0.33)10 per month 0.95  0.07  1.86 (1.68) 4.05 
SMFGSumitomo Mitsui Financial(0.05)6 per month 0.96  0.23  2.99 (1.92) 8.31 
PNCPNC Financial Services 1.02 10 per month 0.60  0.18  2.38 (1.53) 5.33 

Other Forecasting Options for ING Group

For every potential investor in ING, whether a beginner or expert, ING Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ING Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ING. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ING Group's price trends.

ING Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ING Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ING Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ING Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ING Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ING Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ING Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ING Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ING Group NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ING Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of ING Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ING Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ing stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for ING Group

The number of cover stories for ING Group depends on current market conditions and ING Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ING Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ING Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

ING Group Short Properties

ING Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when ING Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ING Group NV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ING Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ING Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments115.1 B
When determining whether ING Group NV is a strong investment it is important to analyze ING Group's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact ING Group's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding ING Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ING Group to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ING Group. If investors know ING will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ING Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.028
Dividend Share
1.06
Earnings Share
2.33
Revenue Per Share
6.568
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0)
The market value of ING Group NV is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ING that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ING Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ING Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ING Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ING Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ING Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ING Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ING Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.