Jfrog Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| FROG Stock | USD 30.81 0.34 1.09% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Jfrog on the next trading day is expected to be 30.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.94. Jfrog Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Jfrog's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Jfrog |
Jfrog Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Jfrog's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2018-12-31 | Previous Quarter 218.3 M | Current Value 62.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 83.1 M |
Jfrog Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Jfrog on the next trading day is expected to be 30.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65, mean absolute percentage error of 0.74, and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jfrog Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jfrog's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Jfrog Stock Forecast Pattern
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Jfrog Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Jfrog's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jfrog's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28.60 and 33.03, respectively. We have considered Jfrog's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jfrog stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jfrog stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.8127 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6548 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0219 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 39.9429 |
Predictive Modules for Jfrog
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jfrog. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Jfrog
For every potential investor in Jfrog, whether a beginner or expert, Jfrog's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jfrog Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jfrog. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jfrog's price trends.Jfrog Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jfrog stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jfrog could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jfrog by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Jfrog Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jfrog's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jfrog's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Jfrog Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jfrog stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jfrog shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jfrog stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jfrog entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Jfrog Risk Indicators
The analysis of Jfrog's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jfrog's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jfrog stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.76 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.51 | |||
| Variance | 6.29 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.93 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.55 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.79) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Jfrog is a strong investment it is important to analyze Jfrog's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Jfrog's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Jfrog Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jfrog to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Jfrog Stock please use our How to Invest in Jfrog guide.You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jfrog. If investors know Jfrog will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jfrog listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.52) | Revenue Per Share 3.792 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.23 | Return On Assets (0.05) | Return On Equity (0.08) |
The market value of Jfrog is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jfrog that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jfrog's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jfrog's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jfrog's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jfrog's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jfrog's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jfrog is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jfrog's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.