Jfrog Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 28.60

FROG Stock  USD 30.36  0.10  0.33%   
Jfrog's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Jfrog. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Jfrog based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Jfrog over a specific time period. For example, FROG Option Call 20-12-2024 30 is a CALL option contract on Jfrog's common stock with a strick price of 30.0 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-12-10 at 13:40:51 for $1.27 and, as of today, has 9 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $0.0. The implied volatility as of the 11th of December 2024 is 9.0. View All Jfrog options

Closest to current price Jfrog long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Jfrog's future price is the expected price of Jfrog instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jfrog performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jfrog Backtesting, Jfrog Valuation, Jfrog Correlation, Jfrog Hype Analysis, Jfrog Volatility, Jfrog History as well as Jfrog Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Jfrog Stock please use our How to Invest in Jfrog guide.
  
At this time, Jfrog's Price To Book Ratio is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Jfrog's current Price Fair Value is estimated to increase to 5.53, while Price Earnings Ratio is projected to decrease to (61.29). Please specify Jfrog's target price for which you would like Jfrog odds to be computed.

Jfrog Target Price Odds to finish below 28.60

The tendency of Jfrog Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 28.60  or more in 90 days
 30.36 90 days 28.60 
about 18.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jfrog to drop to $ 28.60  or more in 90 days from now is about 18.91 (This Jfrog probability density function shows the probability of Jfrog Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jfrog price to stay between $ 28.60  and its current price of $30.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.49 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.49 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Jfrog will likely underperform. Additionally Jfrog has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Jfrog Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jfrog

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jfrog. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.0730.3332.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.6431.9034.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.4829.7331.99
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
30.6133.6437.34
Details

Jfrog Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jfrog is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jfrog's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jfrog, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jfrog within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.49
σ
Overall volatility
1.44
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Jfrog Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jfrog for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jfrog can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 349.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (61.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 217.78 M.
Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Eduard Grabscheid Sells 834 Shares of JFrog Ltd. Stock

Jfrog Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jfrog Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jfrog's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jfrog's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding103.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments545 M

Jfrog Technical Analysis

Jfrog's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jfrog Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jfrog. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jfrog Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jfrog Predictive Forecast Models

Jfrog's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jfrog's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jfrog's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jfrog

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jfrog for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jfrog help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 349.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (61.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 217.78 M.
Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Eduard Grabscheid Sells 834 Shares of JFrog Ltd. Stock
When determining whether Jfrog is a strong investment it is important to analyze Jfrog's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Jfrog's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Jfrog Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Jfrog Backtesting, Jfrog Valuation, Jfrog Correlation, Jfrog Hype Analysis, Jfrog Volatility, Jfrog History as well as Jfrog Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Jfrog Stock please use our How to Invest in Jfrog guide.
You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jfrog. If investors know Jfrog will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jfrog listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.52)
Revenue Per Share
3.792
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.23
Return On Assets
(0.05)
Return On Equity
(0.08)
The market value of Jfrog is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jfrog that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jfrog's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jfrog's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jfrog's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jfrog's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jfrog's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jfrog is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jfrog's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.