ChoiceOne Financial Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

COFS Stock  USD 30.82  0.69  2.19%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of ChoiceOne Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 30.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.73. ChoiceOne Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 4.03 in 2024, whereas Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 1.15 in 2024. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 28.5 M in 2024, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 3.9 M in 2024.
Most investors in ChoiceOne Financial cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the ChoiceOne Financial's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets ChoiceOne Financial's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the accuracy of the generated results. Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through ChoiceOne Financial price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

ChoiceOne Financial Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of September

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of ChoiceOne Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 30.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.14, mean absolute percentage error of 1.94, and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.73.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ChoiceOne Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ChoiceOne Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ChoiceOne Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

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ChoiceOne Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ChoiceOne Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ChoiceOne Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.49 and 34.77, respectively. We have considered ChoiceOne Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
30.82
30.63
Expected Value
34.77
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ChoiceOne Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ChoiceOne Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.6089
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.1409
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0406
SAESum of the absolute errors70.7332
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as ChoiceOne Financial Services historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for ChoiceOne Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ChoiceOne Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ChoiceOne Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.6030.7434.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.2924.4333.90
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
21.8424.0026.64
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.740.740.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ChoiceOne Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ChoiceOne Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ChoiceOne Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ChoiceOne Financial.

Other Forecasting Options for ChoiceOne Financial

For every potential investor in ChoiceOne, whether a beginner or expert, ChoiceOne Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ChoiceOne Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ChoiceOne. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ChoiceOne Financial's price trends.

ChoiceOne Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ChoiceOne Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ChoiceOne Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ChoiceOne Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ChoiceOne Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ChoiceOne Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ChoiceOne Financial's current price.

ChoiceOne Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ChoiceOne Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ChoiceOne Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ChoiceOne Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ChoiceOne Financial Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ChoiceOne Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of ChoiceOne Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ChoiceOne Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting choiceone stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for ChoiceOne Stock Analysis

When running ChoiceOne Financial's price analysis, check to measure ChoiceOne Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ChoiceOne Financial is operating at the current time. Most of ChoiceOne Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ChoiceOne Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ChoiceOne Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ChoiceOne Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.