CrossFirst Bankshares Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

CFB Stock  USD 15.81  0.34  2.20%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of CrossFirst Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 15.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.19. CrossFirst Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast CrossFirst Bankshares stock prices and determine the direction of CrossFirst Bankshares's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CrossFirst Bankshares' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, CrossFirst Bankshares' Fixed Asset Turnover is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.06, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to (0). . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 74.4 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 40.5 M.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for CrossFirst Bankshares is based on an artificially constructed time series of CrossFirst Bankshares daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

CrossFirst Bankshares 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of CrossFirst Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 15.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.19.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CrossFirst Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CrossFirst Bankshares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CrossFirst Bankshares Stock Forecast Pattern

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CrossFirst Bankshares Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CrossFirst Bankshares' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CrossFirst Bankshares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.98 and 17.80, respectively. We have considered CrossFirst Bankshares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.81
15.89
Expected Value
17.80
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CrossFirst Bankshares stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CrossFirst Bankshares stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.8818
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1009
MADMean absolute deviation0.411
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0246
SAESum of the absolute errors22.1925
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. CrossFirst Bankshares 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for CrossFirst Bankshares

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CrossFirst Bankshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.8815.7917.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.7814.6916.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15.2416.6618.08
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.8313.0014.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CrossFirst Bankshares. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CrossFirst Bankshares' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CrossFirst Bankshares' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CrossFirst Bankshares.

Other Forecasting Options for CrossFirst Bankshares

For every potential investor in CrossFirst, whether a beginner or expert, CrossFirst Bankshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CrossFirst Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CrossFirst. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CrossFirst Bankshares' price trends.

CrossFirst Bankshares Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CrossFirst Bankshares stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CrossFirst Bankshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CrossFirst Bankshares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CrossFirst Bankshares Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CrossFirst Bankshares' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CrossFirst Bankshares' current price.

CrossFirst Bankshares Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CrossFirst Bankshares stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CrossFirst Bankshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CrossFirst Bankshares stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CrossFirst Bankshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CrossFirst Bankshares Risk Indicators

The analysis of CrossFirst Bankshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CrossFirst Bankshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting crossfirst stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether CrossFirst Bankshares offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of CrossFirst Bankshares' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Crossfirst Bankshares Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Crossfirst Bankshares Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CrossFirst Bankshares to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade CrossFirst Stock refer to our How to Trade CrossFirst Stock guide.
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Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CrossFirst Bankshares. If investors know CrossFirst will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CrossFirst Bankshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.149
Earnings Share
1.45
Revenue Per Share
4.908
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.101
Return On Assets
0.0101
The market value of CrossFirst Bankshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CrossFirst that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CrossFirst Bankshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CrossFirst Bankshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CrossFirst Bankshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CrossFirst Bankshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CrossFirst Bankshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CrossFirst Bankshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CrossFirst Bankshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.