Cabaletta Bio Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| CABA Stock | USD 3.18 0.24 8.16% |
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Cabaletta Bio on the next trading day is expected to be 2.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.12. Cabaletta Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Cabaletta Bio stock prices and determine the direction of Cabaletta Bio's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cabaletta Bio's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the rsi of Cabaletta Bio's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.47) | EPS Estimate Current Year (2.10) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.68) | Wall Street Target Price 13.125 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.46) |
Using Cabaletta Bio hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cabaletta Bio from the perspective of Cabaletta Bio response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cabaletta Bio using Cabaletta Bio's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cabaletta using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cabaletta Bio's stock price.
Cabaletta Bio Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Cabaletta Bio's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Cabaletta. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Cabaletta Bio stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 1.9483 | Short Percent 0.1985 | Short Ratio 9.81 | Shares Short Prior Month 18.9 M | 50 Day MA 2.307 |
Cabaletta Bio Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Cabaletta Bio's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cabaletta. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cabaletta can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cabaletta Bio. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Cabaletta Bio Implied Volatility | 1.8 |
Cabaletta Bio's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cabaletta Bio stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cabaletta Bio's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cabaletta Bio stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cabaletta Bio's options are near their expiration.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Cabaletta Bio on the next trading day is expected to be 2.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.12. Cabaletta Bio after-hype prediction price | USD 3.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Cabaletta | Build AI portfolio with Cabaletta Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Cabaletta contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Cabaletta Bio will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.11% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Cabaletta Bio trading at USD 3.18, that is roughly USD 0.003578 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Cabaletta Bio's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Cabaletta Bio options at the current volatility level of 1.8%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Cabaletta Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Cabaletta Bio's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Cabaletta Bio's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Cabaletta Bio stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Cabaletta Bio's open interest, investors have to compare it to Cabaletta Bio's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Cabaletta Bio is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Cabaletta. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Cabaletta Bio Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cabaletta price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cabaletta using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cabaletta charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cabaletta Bio 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Cabaletta Bio on the next trading day is expected to be 2.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.12.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cabaletta Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cabaletta Bio's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cabaletta Bio Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cabaletta Bio | Cabaletta Bio Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Cabaletta Bio Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cabaletta Bio's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cabaletta Bio's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 11.28, respectively. We have considered Cabaletta Bio's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cabaletta Bio stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cabaletta Bio stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.7436 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0208 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.14 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0531 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.1225 |
Predictive Modules for Cabaletta Bio
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cabaletta Bio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cabaletta Bio After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cabaletta Bio at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cabaletta Bio or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cabaletta Bio, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cabaletta Bio Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cabaletta Bio's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cabaletta Bio's historical news coverage. Cabaletta Bio's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.16 and 11.53, respectively. We have considered Cabaletta Bio's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cabaletta Bio is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cabaletta Bio is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cabaletta Bio Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cabaletta Bio is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cabaletta Bio backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cabaletta Bio, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.52 | 8.37 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.18 | 3.18 | 0.00 |
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Cabaletta Bio Hype Timeline
Cabaletta Bio is currently traded for 3.18. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Cabaletta is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.52%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cabaletta Bio is about 8718.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.23. About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Cabaletta Bio was currently reported as 1.45. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.4. Cabaletta Bio had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cabaletta Bio to cross-verify your projections.Cabaletta Bio Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cabaletta Bio's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cabaletta Bio's future price movements. Getting to know how Cabaletta Bio's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cabaletta Bio may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EDIT | Editas Medicine | 0.23 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 6.56 | (9.13) | 18.33 | |
| ALLO | Allogene Therapeutics | (0.01) | 20 per month | 3.24 | 0.1 | 9.76 | (5.93) | 21.23 | |
| CAPR | Capricor Therapeutics | 1.57 | 12 per month | 4.29 | 0.12 | 11.97 | (10.26) | 386.29 | |
| KYTX | Kyverna Therapeutics Common | (2.16) | 13 per month | 7.85 | 0.08 | 10.86 | (9.60) | 55.75 | |
| LYEL | Lyell Immunopharma | 1.51 | 6 per month | 4.09 | 0.10 | 12.12 | (7.92) | 31.14 | |
| AVIR | Atea Pharmaceuticals | (0.01) | 14 per month | 2.89 | 0.11 | 4.64 | (3.27) | 16.12 | |
| PRQR | ProQR Therapeutics BV | (0.01) | 26 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 6.80 | (8.02) | 25.48 | |
| IMMP | Immutep Ltd ADR | 0.16 | 12 per month | 2.90 | 0.14 | 7.41 | (5.41) | 31.54 | |
| LXEO | Lexeo Therapeutics Common | (0.25) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 7.04 | (8.50) | 34.26 | |
| HUMA | Humacyte | (0.07) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 8.16 | (8.13) | 19.22 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cabaletta Bio
For every potential investor in Cabaletta, whether a beginner or expert, Cabaletta Bio's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cabaletta Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cabaletta. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cabaletta Bio's price trends.Cabaletta Bio Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cabaletta Bio stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cabaletta Bio could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cabaletta Bio by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cabaletta Bio Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cabaletta Bio stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cabaletta Bio shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cabaletta Bio stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cabaletta Bio entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1.5 M | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5217 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.08 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.11 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.13 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.19 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.24 |
Cabaletta Bio Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cabaletta Bio's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cabaletta Bio's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cabaletta stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.98 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.89 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.32 | |||
| Variance | 69.25 | |||
| Downside Variance | 29.44 | |||
| Semi Variance | 23.93 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (7.05) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cabaletta Bio
The number of cover stories for Cabaletta Bio depends on current market conditions and Cabaletta Bio's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cabaletta Bio is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cabaletta Bio's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cabaletta Bio Short Properties
Cabaletta Bio's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cabaletta Bio's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cabaletta Bio often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cabaletta Bio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cabaletta Bio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 164 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cabaletta Bio to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Cabaletta Stock refer to our How to Trade Cabaletta Stock guide.You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cabaletta Bio. If investors know Cabaletta will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cabaletta Bio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Cabaletta Bio is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cabaletta that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cabaletta Bio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cabaletta Bio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cabaletta Bio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cabaletta Bio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cabaletta Bio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cabaletta Bio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cabaletta Bio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.