Babcock Wilcox Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| BWNB Stock | USD 25.00 0.46 1.87% |
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises on the next trading day is expected to be 25.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.73. Babcock Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Babcock Wilcox stock prices and determine the direction of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Babcock Wilcox's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of Babcock Wilcox's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Babcock Wilcox hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises from the perspective of Babcock Wilcox response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises on the next trading day is expected to be 25.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.73. Babcock Wilcox after-hype prediction price | USD 25.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Babcock Wilcox to cross-verify your projections. Babcock Wilcox Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Babcock price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Babcock using various technical indicators. When you analyze Babcock charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Babcock Wilcox 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises on the next trading day is expected to be 25.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Babcock Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Babcock Wilcox's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Babcock Wilcox Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Babcock Wilcox | Babcock Wilcox Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Babcock Wilcox Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Babcock Wilcox's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Babcock Wilcox's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.33 and 25.67, respectively. We have considered Babcock Wilcox's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Babcock Wilcox stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Babcock Wilcox stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.7832 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0889 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1355 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0056 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.725 |
Predictive Modules for Babcock Wilcox
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Babcock Wilcox Enter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Babcock Wilcox After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Babcock Wilcox at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Babcock Wilcox or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Babcock Wilcox, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Babcock Wilcox Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Babcock Wilcox's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Babcock Wilcox's historical news coverage. Babcock Wilcox's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.33 and 25.67, respectively. We have considered Babcock Wilcox's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Babcock Wilcox is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Babcock Wilcox Enter is based on 3 months time horizon.
Babcock Wilcox Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Babcock Wilcox is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Babcock Wilcox backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Babcock Wilcox, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.00 | 25.00 | 0.00 |
|
Babcock Wilcox Hype Timeline
Babcock Wilcox Enter is currently traded for 25.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Babcock is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Babcock Wilcox is about 3350.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.00. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Babcock Wilcox to cross-verify your projections.Babcock Wilcox Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Babcock Wilcox's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Babcock Wilcox's future price movements. Getting to know how Babcock Wilcox's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Babcock Wilcox may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ZEPP | Zepp Health Corp | 0.10 | 29 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 10.70 | (13.63) | 32.17 | |
| LTRX | Lantronix | 0.08 | 10 per month | 2.91 | 0.14 | 6.15 | (5.41) | 21.11 | |
| VLN | Valens | 0.01 | 9 per month | 4.03 | 0.06 | 7.65 | (6.85) | 69.66 | |
| SQNS | Sequans Communications SA | (0.34) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 6.80 | (7.10) | 22.79 | |
| SVCO | Silvaco Group Common | 0.20 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.80 | (9.11) | 17.51 | |
| CCRD | CoreCard Corp | 0.06 | 20 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.18 | (2.96) | 16.08 | |
| DVLT | Datavault AI | (0.16) | 10 per month | 9.52 | (0.0001) | 42.57 | (17.34) | 72.53 | |
| ARBE | Arbe Robotics | (0.03) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 9.71 | (7.89) | 23.36 | |
| AEYE | AudioEye | (0.06) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 4.12 | (4.76) | 12.01 | |
| SATL | Satellogic V | (0.06) | 7 per month | 5.17 | 0.12 | 16.84 | (8.00) | 26.31 |
Other Forecasting Options for Babcock Wilcox
For every potential investor in Babcock, whether a beginner or expert, Babcock Wilcox's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Babcock Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Babcock. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Babcock Wilcox's price trends.Babcock Wilcox Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Babcock Wilcox stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Babcock Wilcox could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Babcock Wilcox by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Babcock Wilcox Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Babcock Wilcox stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Babcock Wilcox shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Babcock Wilcox stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Babcock Wilcox Enterprises entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Babcock Wilcox Risk Indicators
The analysis of Babcock Wilcox's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Babcock Wilcox's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting babcock stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3976 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.0807 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6698 | |||
| Variance | 0.4487 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.1558 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0065 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.60) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Babcock Wilcox
The number of cover stories for Babcock Wilcox depends on current market conditions and Babcock Wilcox's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Babcock Wilcox is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Babcock Wilcox's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Babcock Wilcox to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Babcock Wilcox. If investors know Babcock will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Babcock Wilcox listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Babcock Wilcox Enter is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Babcock that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Babcock Wilcox's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Babcock Wilcox's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Babcock Wilcox's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Babcock Wilcox's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Babcock Wilcox's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Babcock Wilcox is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Babcock Wilcox's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.