BlackRock Utility Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

BUI Stock  USD 23.19  0.07  0.30%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of BlackRock Utility Infrastructure on the next trading day is expected to be 23.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.05. BlackRock Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BlackRock Utility's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The BlackRock Utility's current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.09, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 0.31. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 21.3 M.

BlackRock Utility Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the BlackRock Utility's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
430.4 K
Current Value
216.8 K
Quarterly Volatility
189.1 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for BlackRock Utility is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of BlackRock Utility Infrastructure value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

BlackRock Utility Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 20th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of BlackRock Utility Infrastructure on the next trading day is expected to be 23.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.05.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BlackRock Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BlackRock Utility's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BlackRock Utility Stock Forecast Pattern

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BlackRock Utility Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BlackRock Utility's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BlackRock Utility's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.51 and 23.99, respectively. We have considered BlackRock Utility's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
23.19
23.25
Expected Value
23.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BlackRock Utility stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BlackRock Utility stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.7146
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1319
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0056
SAESum of the absolute errors8.0469
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of BlackRock Utility Infrastructure. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict BlackRock Utility. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for BlackRock Utility

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BlackRock Utility. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BlackRock Utility's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.4523.1923.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.6723.4124.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
22.8723.1823.49
Details

Other Forecasting Options for BlackRock Utility

For every potential investor in BlackRock, whether a beginner or expert, BlackRock Utility's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BlackRock Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BlackRock. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BlackRock Utility's price trends.

BlackRock Utility Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BlackRock Utility stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BlackRock Utility could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BlackRock Utility by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BlackRock Utility Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BlackRock Utility's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BlackRock Utility's current price.

BlackRock Utility Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BlackRock Utility stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BlackRock Utility shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BlackRock Utility stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BlackRock Utility Infrastructure entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BlackRock Utility Risk Indicators

The analysis of BlackRock Utility's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BlackRock Utility's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting blackrock stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether BlackRock Utility offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of BlackRock Utility's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Blackrock Utility Infrastructure Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Blackrock Utility Infrastructure Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BlackRock Utility to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BlackRock Utility. If investors know BlackRock will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BlackRock Utility listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
0.73
The market value of BlackRock Utility is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BlackRock that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BlackRock Utility's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BlackRock Utility's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BlackRock Utility's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BlackRock Utility's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BlackRock Utility's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BlackRock Utility is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BlackRock Utility's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.