Credicorp Stock Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| BAP Stock | USD 358.18 2.03 0.57% |
Credicorp Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today The value of RSI of Credicorp's share price is above 80 suggesting that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 83
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Credicorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Credicorp from the perspective of Credicorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Credicorp on the next trading day is expected to be 355.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 333.58. Credicorp after-hype prediction price | USD 358.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Credicorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Credicorp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Credicorp using various technical indicators. When you analyze Credicorp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Credicorp 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Credicorp on the next trading day is expected to be 355.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.85, mean absolute percentage error of 52.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 333.58.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Credicorp Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Credicorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Credicorp Stock Forecast Pattern
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Credicorp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Credicorp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Credicorp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 353.88 and 356.87, respectively. We have considered Credicorp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Credicorp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Credicorp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.7139 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -4.2949 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.8523 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0197 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 333.58 |
Predictive Modules for Credicorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Credicorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Credicorp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Credicorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Credicorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Credicorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Credicorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Credicorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Credicorp's historical news coverage. Credicorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 356.68 and 359.68, respectively. We have considered Credicorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Credicorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Credicorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Credicorp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Credicorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Credicorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Credicorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.53 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
358.18 | 358.18 | 0.00 |
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Credicorp Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Credicorp is traded for 358.18. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Credicorp is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.53%. %. The volatility of related hype on Credicorp is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 358.18. About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Credicorp was currently reported as 134.9. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.16. Credicorp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 23.82. The entity last dividend was issued on the 19th of May 2025. The firm had 1039:1000 split on the 16th of April 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Credicorp to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Credicorp Stock, please use our How to Invest in Credicorp guide.Credicorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Credicorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Credicorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Credicorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Credicorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Other Forecasting Options for Credicorp
For every potential investor in Credicorp, whether a beginner or expert, Credicorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Credicorp Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Credicorp. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Credicorp's price trends.View Credicorp Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Credicorp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Credicorp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Credicorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Credicorp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Credicorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Credicorp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Credicorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Credicorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting credicorp stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8377 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Variance | 2.24 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.75 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7018 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.42) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Credicorp
The number of cover stories for Credicorp depends on current market conditions and Credicorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Credicorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Credicorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Credicorp Short Properties
Credicorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Credicorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Credicorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Credicorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Credicorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 79.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 81.7 B |
Additional Tools for Credicorp Stock Analysis
When running Credicorp's price analysis, check to measure Credicorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Credicorp is operating at the current time. Most of Credicorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Credicorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Credicorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Credicorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.