Foreign Trade Bank Stock Price Prediction
| BLX Stock | USD 33.43 0.32 0.95% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
64
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.15 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.05 | Wall Street Target Price 41 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.134 |
Using Foreign Trade hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Foreign Trade Bank from the perspective of Foreign Trade response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Foreign Trade to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Foreign because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Foreign Trade after-hype prediction price | USD 33.47 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Foreign Trade After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Foreign Trade at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Foreign Trade or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Foreign Trade, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Foreign Trade Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Foreign Trade's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Foreign Trade's historical news coverage. Foreign Trade's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.04 and 34.90, respectively. We have considered Foreign Trade's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Foreign Trade is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Foreign Trade Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
Foreign Trade Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Foreign Trade is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Foreign Trade backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Foreign Trade, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.42 | 0.02 | 0.29 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
33.43 | 33.47 | 0.12 |
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Foreign Trade Hype Timeline
On the 21st of November Foreign Trade Bank is traded for 33.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.29. Foreign is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 33.47 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.12%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Foreign Trade is about 91.61%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.72. The company reported the last year's revenue of 238.65 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 166.16 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 143.7 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Foreign Trade Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Foreign Trade Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Foreign Trade's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Foreign Trade's future price movements. Getting to know how Foreign Trade's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Foreign Trade may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JBLU | JetBlue Airways Corp | 0.29 | 9 per month | 4.04 | 0.08 | 7.53 | (6.73) | 31.32 | |
| ATSG | Air Transport Services | (0.01) | 10 per month | 1.90 | 0.14 | 3.95 | (3.09) | 26.66 | |
| GFF | Griffon | 7.52 | 8 per month | 1.71 | 0.1 | 3.91 | (3.12) | 22.83 | |
| AAL | American Airlines Group | (0.04) | 9 per month | 1.51 | 0.19 | 6.14 | (2.77) | 11.24 | |
| HIHO | Highway Holdings Limited | (0.01) | 4 per month | 2.99 | 0.02 | 2.73 | (2.70) | 41.88 |
Foreign Trade Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Foreign price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Foreign using various technical indicators. When you analyze Foreign charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Foreign Trade Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Foreign Trade stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Foreign Trade Bank, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Foreign Trade based on analysis of Foreign Trade hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Foreign Trade's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Foreign Trade's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0599 | 0.0615 | 0.0402 | 0.0422 | Price To Sales Ratio | 6.14 | 3.53 | 3.78 | 7.27 |
Story Coverage note for Foreign Trade
The number of cover stories for Foreign Trade depends on current market conditions and Foreign Trade's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Foreign Trade is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Foreign Trade's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Foreign Trade Short Properties
Foreign Trade's future price predictability will typically decrease when Foreign Trade's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Foreign Trade Bank often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Foreign Trade's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Foreign Trade's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2 B |
Additional Tools for Foreign Stock Analysis
When running Foreign Trade's price analysis, check to measure Foreign Trade's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Foreign Trade is operating at the current time. Most of Foreign Trade's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Foreign Trade's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Foreign Trade's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Foreign Trade to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.