Ambarella Stock Forecast - Maximum Drawdown

AMBA Stock  USD 70.84  1.07  1.53%   
Ambarella Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ambarella stock prices and determine the direction of Ambarella's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ambarella's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Ambarella's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Ambarella's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ambarella, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ambarella's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.5956
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.6181
Wall Street Target Price
97.4546
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.2063
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.312
Using Ambarella hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ambarella from the perspective of Ambarella response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ambarella using Ambarella's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ambarella using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ambarella's stock price.

Ambarella Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Ambarella's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Ambarella. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Ambarella stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
68.218
Short Percent
0.0657
Short Ratio
2
Shares Short Prior Month
2.8 M
50 Day MA
80.2116

Ambarella Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Ambarella's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ambarella. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ambarella can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ambarella. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ambarella's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ambarella.

Ambarella Implied Volatility

    
  0.62  
Ambarella's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ambarella stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ambarella's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ambarella stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ambarella's options are near their expiration.

Ambarella after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 70.84  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ambarella to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Ambarella Stock refer to our How to Trade Ambarella Stock guide.At present, Ambarella's Inventory Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Payables Turnover is expected to grow to 6.00, whereas Receivables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 6.84. . As of January 2, 2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 34.6 M. The current year's Net Loss is expected to grow to about (55.9 M).

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Ambarella Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Ambarella's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Ambarella's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Ambarella stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Ambarella's open interest, investors have to compare it to Ambarella's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Ambarella is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Ambarella. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Ambarella Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ambarella price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ambarella using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ambarella charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Ambarella has current Maximum Drawdown of 0.
Check Ambarella VolatilityBacktest AmbarellaInformation Ratio  

Ambarella Trading Date Momentum

On January 02 2026 Ambarella was traded for  70.84  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 71.37  and the lowest listed price was  69.98 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on January 2, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 1.21% .
Compare Ambarella to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Ambarella

For every potential investor in Ambarella, whether a beginner or expert, Ambarella's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ambarella Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ambarella. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ambarella's price trends.

Ambarella Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ambarella stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ambarella could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ambarella by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ambarella Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ambarella's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ambarella's current price.

Ambarella Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ambarella stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ambarella shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ambarella stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ambarella entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ambarella Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ambarella's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ambarella's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ambarella stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Ambarella offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Ambarella's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ambarella Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ambarella Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ambarella to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Ambarella Stock refer to our How to Trade Ambarella Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ambarella. If investors know Ambarella will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ambarella listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.88)
Revenue Per Share
8.824
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.312
Return On Assets
(0.08)
Return On Equity
(0.14)
The market value of Ambarella is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ambarella that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ambarella's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ambarella's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ambarella's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ambarella's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ambarella's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ambarella is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ambarella's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.