C3 Ai Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

AI Stock  USD 25.99  0.39  1.48%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of C3 Ai Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 26.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.48. C3 Ai Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of C3 Ai's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, C3 Ai's Payables Turnover is increasing as compared to previous years. The C3 Ai's current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 3.09, while Fixed Asset Turnover is projected to decrease to 3.33. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 115.1 M. The C3 Ai's current Net Loss is estimated to increase to about (229.9 M).
A four-period moving average forecast model for C3 Ai Inc is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

C3 Ai 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 17th of November 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of C3 Ai Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 26.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.87, mean absolute percentage error of 1.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.48.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict C3 Ai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that C3 Ai's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

C3 Ai Stock Forecast Pattern

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C3 Ai Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting C3 Ai's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. C3 Ai's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.55 and 29.25, respectively. We have considered C3 Ai's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
25.99
26.40
Expected Value
29.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of C3 Ai stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent C3 Ai stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.6837
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0932
MADMean absolute deviation0.8704
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0351
SAESum of the absolute errors50.4825
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of C3 Ai. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for C3 Ai Inc and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for C3 Ai

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as C3 Ai Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.1325.9828.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.2824.1326.98
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
24.5727.0029.97
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.18-0.16-0.13
Details

Other Forecasting Options for C3 Ai

For every potential investor in C3 Ai, whether a beginner or expert, C3 Ai's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. C3 Ai Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in C3 Ai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying C3 Ai's price trends.

C3 Ai Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with C3 Ai stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of C3 Ai could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing C3 Ai by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

C3 Ai Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of C3 Ai's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of C3 Ai's current price.

C3 Ai Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how C3 Ai stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading C3 Ai shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying C3 Ai stock market strength indicators, traders can identify C3 Ai Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

C3 Ai Risk Indicators

The analysis of C3 Ai's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in C3 Ai's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting c3 ai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of C3 Ai to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of C3 Ai. If investors know C3 Ai will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about C3 Ai listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.21)
Revenue Per Share
2.674
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.205
Return On Assets
(0.18)
Return On Equity
(0.31)
The market value of C3 Ai Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of C3 Ai that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of C3 Ai's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is C3 Ai's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because C3 Ai's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect C3 Ai's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between C3 Ai's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if C3 Ai is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, C3 Ai's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.