Bonree Data Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| 688229 Stock | 68.56 0.30 0.44% |
Bonree Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Bonree Data stock prices and determine the direction of Bonree Data Technology's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bonree Data's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 28th of January 2026, The relative strength indicator of Bonree Data's share price is at 53. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bonree Data, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (1.30) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.61) | Wall Street Target Price 36 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.20) |
Using Bonree Data hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bonree Data Technology from the perspective of Bonree Data response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bonree Data Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 58.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 164.21. Bonree Data after-hype prediction price | CNY 68.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bonree |
Bonree Data Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bonree price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bonree using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bonree charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bonree Data Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bonree Data Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 58.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.65, mean absolute percentage error of 13.99, and the sum of the absolute errors of 164.21.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bonree Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bonree Data's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bonree Data Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bonree Data | Bonree Data Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Bonree Data Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bonree Data's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bonree Data's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 53.33 and 63.04, respectively. We have considered Bonree Data's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bonree Data stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bonree Data stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.5869 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.6485 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0394 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 164.2051 |
Predictive Modules for Bonree Data
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bonree Data Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bonree Data After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bonree Data at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bonree Data or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bonree Data, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bonree Data Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bonree Data's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bonree Data's historical news coverage. Bonree Data's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 63.66 and 73.38, respectively. We have considered Bonree Data's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bonree Data is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bonree Data Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bonree Data Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bonree Data is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bonree Data backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bonree Data, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 4.86 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
68.56 | 68.52 | 0.06 |
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Bonree Data Hype Timeline
Bonree Data Technology is presently traded for 68.56on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Bonree is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 68.52. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Bonree Data is about 23142.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 68.55. About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company recorded a loss per share of 2.16. Bonree Data Technology last dividend was issued on the 31st of May 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bonree Data to cross-verify your projections.Bonree Data Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bonree Data's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bonree Data's future price movements. Getting to know how Bonree Data's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bonree Data may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 601398 | Industrial and Commercial | (0.11) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.38 | (1.98) | 5.43 | |
| 601939 | China Construction Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.25 | (1.67) | 5.87 | |
| 601288 | Agricultural Bank of | 0.02 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.22 | (2.65) | 6.47 | |
| 601988 | Bank of China | 0.05 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.49 | (1.91) | 6.10 | |
| 601857 | PetroChina Co Ltd | 0.12 | 1 per month | 1.27 | 0.09 | 2.23 | (2.49) | 8.08 | |
| 600941 | China Mobile Limited | 0.69 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.44) | 0.78 | (1.16) | 3.05 | |
| 600036 | China Merchants Bank | (0.26) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.45 | (1.39) | 6.38 | |
| 600938 | CNOOC Limited | 0.22 | 5 per month | 1.40 | 0.12 | 3.57 | (2.73) | 8.86 | |
| 601318 | Ping An Insurance | (1.09) | 6 per month | 1.21 | 0.07 | 2.71 | (1.96) | 10.06 | |
| 601628 | China Life Insurance | 0.15 | 9 per month | 1.42 | 0.04 | 3.35 | (2.33) | 8.93 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bonree Data
For every potential investor in Bonree, whether a beginner or expert, Bonree Data's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bonree Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bonree. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bonree Data's price trends.Bonree Data Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bonree Data stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bonree Data could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bonree Data by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bonree Data Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bonree Data stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bonree Data shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bonree Data stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bonree Data Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Bonree Data Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bonree Data's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bonree Data's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bonree stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.98 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.74 | |||
| Variance | 22.49 | |||
| Downside Variance | 11.19 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.25 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.71) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bonree Data
The number of cover stories for Bonree Data depends on current market conditions and Bonree Data's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bonree Data is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bonree Data's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bonree Data Short Properties
Bonree Data's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bonree Data's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bonree Data Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bonree Data's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bonree Data's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 331.9 M |
Other Information on Investing in Bonree Stock
Bonree Data financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bonree Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bonree with respect to the benefits of owning Bonree Data security.