First Watch Earnings Estimate

FWRG Stock  USD 16.78  0.51  2.95%   
The next projected EPS of First Watch is estimated to be 0.0439 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.025 to a high of 0.085. First Watch's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 0.17. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for First Watch Restaurant is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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First Watch is projected to generate 0.0439 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2025. First Watch earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected First Watch Restaurant EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on First Watch's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as First Watch, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

First Watch Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

By analyzing First Watch's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across First Watch's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes. The First Watch's current Gross Profit is estimated to increase to about 832.5 M. The First Watch's current Pretax Profit Margin is estimated to increase to 0.04Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Watch Restaurant. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

First Watch Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of First Watch's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of First Watch is estimated to be 0.0439 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.025 to a high of 0.085. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for First Watch Restaurant is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.03
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.0439
0.09
Highest

First Watch Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of First Watch's value are higher than the current market price of the First Watch stock. In this case, investors may conclude that First Watch is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and First Watch's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2025Current EPS (TTM)
1161.69%
0.0
0.0439
0.17

First Watch Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by First Watch Restaurant analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge First Watch's stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only First Watch's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

First Watch Quarterly Gross Profit

215.59 Million

At this time, First Watch's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The First Watch's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 63.8 M. The First Watch's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 8.3 M.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.9716.7420.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.8718.6422.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.3617.1320.90
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
19.0320.9123.21
Details
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of First assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards First Watch. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving First Watch's stock price in the short term.

First Watch Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of First Watch refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering First Watch Restaurant predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of First Watch, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

First Watch Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as First Watch, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of First Watch should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

First Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact First Watch's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
null
nullnullnullnull
null
nullnullnullnull
2025-05-22
2025-03-310.0339-0.0136-0.0475140 
2025-03-11
2024-12-310.00330.010.0067203 
2024-11-07
2024-09-300.040.03-0.0125 
2024-08-06
2024-06-300.120.140.0216 
2024-05-07
2024-03-310.10.120.0220 
2024-03-05
2023-12-310.040.040.0
2023-11-01
2023-09-300.040.090.05125 
2023-08-01
2023-06-300.080.130.0562 
2023-05-02
2023-03-310.090.150.0666 
2023-03-07
2022-12-310.02-0.01-0.03150 
2022-11-07
2022-09-300.038.0E-4-0.029297 
2022-08-09
2022-06-300.040.050.0125 
2022-05-10
2022-03-310.050.080.0360 
2022-03-23
2021-12-31-0.07-0.040.0342 
2021-11-08
2021-09-30-0.010.020.03300 
2021-09-01
2021-06-300.070.08020.010214 
2021-06-27
2021-03-3100.2150.215
2021-03-27
2020-12-3100.2150.215
2020-12-27
2020-09-300-2.4027-2.4027
2020-09-27
2020-06-300-2.4027-2.4027
2020-06-28
2020-03-310-4.1318-4.1318
2020-03-28
2019-12-310-4.1318-4.1318

About First Watch Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of First Watch earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current First Watch estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as First Watch fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Retained Earnings-53.8 M-56.5 M
Earnings Yield 0.02  0.02 
Price Earnings Ratio 42.42  44.54 
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio 0.21  0.22 

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether First Watch Restaurant is a strong investment it is important to analyze First Watch's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact First Watch's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding First Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Watch Restaurant. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Watch. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Watch listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.75)
Earnings Share
0.17
Revenue Per Share
17.434
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.164
Return On Assets
0.015
The market value of First Watch Restaurant is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Watch's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Watch's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Watch's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Watch's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Watch's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Watch is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Watch's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.