Fossil Earnings Estimate

FOSL Stock  USD 3.10  0.75  31.91%   
The next projected EPS of Fossil is estimated to be -0.05 with future projections ranging from a low of -0.05 to a high of -0.05. Fossil's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -1.11. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Fossil Group is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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Fossil is projected to generate -0.05 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Fossil earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Fossil Group EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Fossil's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Fossil, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Fossil Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

By analyzing Fossil's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Fossil's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes. Gross Profit is expected to rise to about 866.2 M this year, although the value of Pretax Profit Margin is projected to rise to (0.01). Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Fossil Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.

Fossil Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Fossil's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Fossil is estimated to be -0.05 with the future projection ranging from a low of -0.05 to a high of -0.05. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Fossil Group is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.11
-0.05
Lowest
Expected EPS
-0.05
-0.05
Highest

Fossil Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Fossil's value are higher than the current market price of the Fossil stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Fossil is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Fossil's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
144.33%
0.11
-0.05
-1.11

Fossil Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Fossil Group analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Fossil's stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Fossil's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

Fossil Quarterly Gross Profit

126.7 Million

Retained Earnings is expected to rise to about (80.1 M) this year. The value of Retained Earnings Total Equity is expected to slide to about 150 M The value of Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to slide to about 50.1 M. Net Loss is expected to rise to about (37.8 M) this year.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fossil's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.153.059.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.203.9610.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.4310.34
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
6.377.007.77
Details
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Fossil assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Fossil. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Fossil's stock price in the short term.

Fossil Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Fossil refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Fossil Group predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Fossil, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Fossil Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Fossil, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Fossil should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Fossil Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Fossil's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
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2025-08-13
2025-06-30-0.21-0.10.1152 
2022-11-09
2022-09-300.120.120.0
2022-08-10
2022-06-30-0.33-0.330.0
2022-05-11
2022-03-31-0.37-0.370.0
2022-03-09
2021-12-310.640.640.0
2021-11-10
2021-09-300.690.68-0.01
2021-08-11
2021-06-300.10.07-0.0330 
2021-05-12
2021-03-31-0.26-0.170.0934 
2021-03-10
2020-12-310.180.11-0.0738 
2020-11-11
2020-09-30-0.730.41.13154 
2020-08-12
2020-06-30-1.71-0.231.4886 
2020-06-03
2020-03-31-1.51-1.510.0
2020-02-26
2019-12-310.79-0.03-0.82103 
2019-11-06
2019-09-300.09-0.15-0.24266 
2019-08-07
2019-06-30-0.05-0.040.0120 
2019-05-08
2019-03-31-0.64-0.420.2234 
2019-02-13
2018-12-311.091.01-0.08
2018-11-07
2018-09-30-0.190.190.38200 
2018-08-07
2018-06-30-0.570.170.74129 
2018-05-08
2018-03-31-0.86-0.640.2225 
2018-02-13
2017-12-310.40.640.2460 
2017-11-07
2017-09-30-0.28-0.030.2589 
2017-08-08
2017-06-30-0.46-0.48-0.02
2017-05-09
2017-03-31-0.44-0.65-0.2147 
2017-02-14
2016-12-311.181.03-0.1512 
2016-11-03
2016-09-300.310.360.0516 
2016-08-09
2016-06-300.090.120.0333 
2016-05-10
2016-03-310.150.12-0.0320 
2016-02-16
2015-12-311.31.460.1612 
2015-11-12
2015-09-301.131.190.06
2015-08-11
2015-06-300.821.120.336 
2015-05-05
2015-03-310.640.880.2437 
2015-02-17
2014-12-313.072.92-0.15
2014-11-11
2014-09-301.821.960.14
2014-08-12
2014-06-300.960.980.02
2014-05-13
2014-03-311.171.11-0.06
2014-02-11
2013-12-312.432.680.2510 
2013-11-05
2013-09-301.361.390.03
2013-08-06
2013-06-300.931.150.2223 
2013-05-07
2013-03-310.971.10.1313 
2013-02-12
2012-12-312.262.270.01
2012-11-06
2012-09-301.161.260.1
2012-08-07
2012-06-300.780.920.1417 
2012-05-08
2012-03-310.920.930.01
2012-02-14
2011-12-311.771.870.1
2011-11-08
2011-09-301.031.090.06
2011-08-09
2011-06-300.760.80.04
2011-05-10
2011-03-310.660.860.230 
2011-02-15
2010-12-311.351.460.11
2010-11-09
2010-09-300.751.00.2533 
2010-08-10
2010-06-300.340.80.46135 
2010-05-11
2010-03-310.320.530.2165 
2010-02-16
2009-12-310.911.030.1213 
2009-11-10
2009-09-300.420.520.123 
2009-08-11
2009-06-300.20.250.0525 
2009-05-12
2009-03-310.160.260.162 
2009-02-17
2008-12-310.690.690.0
2008-11-11
2008-09-300.490.540.0510 
2008-08-12
2008-06-300.250.360.1144 
2008-05-13
2008-03-310.40.430.03
2008-02-19
2007-12-310.670.750.0811 
2007-11-13
2007-09-300.340.430.0926 
2007-08-14
2007-06-300.190.210.0210 
2007-02-20
2006-12-310.460.550.0919 
2006-11-14
2006-09-300.310.320.01
2006-08-15
2006-06-300.120.160.0433 
2006-05-16
2006-03-310.120.140.0216 
2006-02-21
2005-12-310.290.310.02
2005-11-08
2005-09-300.280.30.02
2005-08-09
2005-06-300.140.13-0.01
2005-05-10
2005-03-310.260.320.0623 
2005-02-22
2004-12-310.50.50.0
2004-11-09
2004-09-300.310.310.0
2004-08-10
2004-06-300.170.210.0423 
2004-05-10
2004-03-310.20.220.0210 
2004-02-24
2003-12-310.370.390.02
2003-11-11
2003-09-300.220.230.01
2003-08-12
2003-06-300.130.140.01
2003-05-13
2003-03-310.160.170.01
2003-02-25
2002-12-310.320.320.0
2002-11-12
2002-09-300.220.19-0.0313 
2002-08-13
2002-06-300.140.13-0.01
2002-05-14
2002-03-310.220.250.0313 
2002-02-26
2001-12-310.380.390.01
2001-11-13
2001-09-300.220.230.01
2001-08-14
2001-06-300.150.150.0
2001-05-15
2001-03-310.20.210.01
2001-02-20
2000-12-310.350.380.03
2000-11-08
2000-09-300.260.270.01
2000-08-08
2000-06-300.240.240.0
2000-05-09
2000-03-310.240.250.01
2000-02-22
1999-12-310.310.370.0619 
1999-11-09
1999-09-300.240.260.02
1999-08-10
1999-06-300.180.20.0211 
1999-05-11
1999-03-310.120.220.183 
1999-02-23
1998-12-310.20.270.0735 
1998-11-10
1998-09-300.140.180.0428 
1998-08-11
1998-06-300.10.120.0220 
1998-05-12
1998-03-310.080.10.0225 
1998-02-24
1997-12-310.130.140.01
1997-11-11
1997-09-300.10.120.0220 
1997-08-12
1997-06-300.070.080.0114 
1997-05-13
1997-03-310.050.070.0240 
1997-02-20
1996-12-310.10.110.0110 
1996-11-06
1996-09-300.080.090.0112 
1996-08-06
1996-06-300.070.06-0.0114 
1996-05-07
1996-03-310.040.050.0125 
1996-02-19
1995-12-310.080.090.0112 
1995-11-05
1995-09-300.080.06-0.0225 

About Fossil Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Fossil earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Fossil estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Fossil fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Retained Earnings-84.3 M-80.1 M
Retained Earnings Total Equity157.9 M150 M
Earnings Yield(0.20)(0.21)
Price Earnings Ratio(5.06)(4.81)
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio 0.02  0.02 

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When determining whether Fossil Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Fossil's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Fossil's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Fossil Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Fossil Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fossil. If investors know Fossil will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fossil listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.82)
Earnings Share
(1.11)
Revenue Per Share
20.331
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.15)
Return On Assets
0.022
The market value of Fossil Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fossil that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fossil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fossil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fossil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fossil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fossil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fossil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fossil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.