Arch Capital Earnings Estimate

ACGL Stock  USD 95.53  0.96  1.02%   
The next projected EPS of Arch Capital is estimated to be 2.2881 with future projections ranging from a low of 2.09 to a high of 2.53. Arch Capital's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 9.75. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Arch Capital Group is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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Arch Capital is projected to generate 2.2881 in earnings per share on the 30th of June 2025. Arch Capital earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Arch Capital Group EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Arch Capital's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Arch Capital, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing Arch Capital's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Arch Capital's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes. At this time, Arch Capital's Gross Profit is quite stable compared to the past year. Pretax Profit Margin is expected to rise to 0.27 this year, although the value of Operating Profit Margin will most likely fall to 0.15. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Arch Capital Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Arch Capital Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Arch Capital's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Arch Capital is estimated to be 2.2881 with the future projection ranging from a low of 2.09 to a high of 2.53. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Arch Capital Group is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
1.54
2.09
Lowest
Expected EPS
2.2881
2.53
Highest

Arch Capital Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Arch Capital's value are higher than the current market price of the Arch Capital stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Arch Capital is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Arch Capital's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 30th of June 2025Current EPS (TTM)
1479.77%
1.54
2.2881
9.75

Arch Capital Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Arch Capital refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Arch Capital Group predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Arch Capital, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Arch Capital Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Arch Capital, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Arch Capital should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Arch Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Arch Capital's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2025-04-28
2025-03-311.31391.540.226117 
2025-02-11
2024-12-311.80142.260.458625 
2024-10-30
2024-09-301.961.990.03
2024-07-30
2024-06-302.212.570.3616 
2024-04-29
2024-03-312.12.450.3516 
2024-02-14
2023-12-312.032.490.4622 
2023-10-30
2023-09-301.612.310.743 
2023-07-26
2023-06-301.581.920.3421 
2023-04-26
2023-03-311.451.730.2819 
2023-02-13
2022-12-311.342.140.859 
2022-10-26
2022-09-300.170.280.1164 
2022-07-27
2022-06-301.091.340.2522 
2022-04-27
2022-03-311.061.10.04
2022-02-09
2021-12-3111.270.2727 
2021-10-27
2021-09-300.360.740.38105 
2021-07-28
2021-06-300.851.00.1517 
2021-04-27
2021-03-310.450.590.1431 
2021-02-09
2020-12-310.380.560.1847 
2020-10-29
2020-09-300.160.290.1381 
2020-07-29
2020-06-30-0.230.040.27117 
2020-05-04
2020-03-310.440.460.02
2020-02-11
2019-12-310.680.740.06
2019-10-29
2019-09-300.620.630.01
2019-07-29
2019-06-300.670.770.114 
2019-04-30
2019-03-310.620.670.05
2019-02-12
2018-12-310.380.460.0821 
2018-10-30
2018-09-300.520.590.0713 
2018-07-31
2018-06-300.530.590.0611 
2018-05-01
2018-03-310.520.560.04
2018-02-12
2017-12-310.370.450.0821 
2017-10-25
2017-09-30-0.2-0.26-0.0630 
2017-07-26
2017-06-300.40.40.0
2017-04-25
2017-03-310.440.470.03
2017-02-13
2016-12-310.320.380.0618 
2016-10-26
2016-09-300.340.380.0411 
2016-07-27
2016-06-300.320.380.0618 
2016-04-27
2016-03-310.370.390.02
2016-02-09
2015-12-310.350.380.03
2015-10-28
2015-09-300.320.340.02
2015-07-29
2015-06-300.360.390.03
2015-04-28
2015-03-310.360.390.03
2015-02-10
2014-12-310.340.380.0411 
2014-10-29
2014-09-300.320.350.03
2014-07-31
2014-06-300.330.390.0618 
2014-05-01
2014-03-310.350.40.0514 
2014-02-11
2013-12-310.320.370.0515 
2013-10-28
2013-09-300.30.370.0723 
2013-07-25
2013-06-300.280.330.0517 
2013-04-29
2013-03-310.320.390.0721 
2013-02-11
2012-12-31-0.17-0.060.1164 
2012-11-01
2012-09-300.260.290.0311 
2012-07-25
2012-06-300.270.340.0725 
2012-04-25
2012-03-310.240.270.0312 
2012-02-14
2011-12-310.210.310.147 
2011-10-25
2011-09-300.210.260.0523 
2011-07-25
2011-06-300.060.150.09150 
2011-04-25
2011-03-31-0.090.020.11122 
2011-02-14
2010-12-310.260.290.0311 
2010-10-25
2010-09-300.260.280.02
2010-07-26
2010-06-300.250.280.0312 
2010-04-26
2010-03-310.170.20.0317 
2010-02-16
2009-12-310.280.30.02
2009-10-26
2009-09-300.270.280.01
2009-07-23
2009-06-300.280.290.01
2009-04-28
2009-03-310.280.30.02
2009-02-17
2008-12-310.140.160.0214 
2008-10-23
2008-09-300.080.110.0337 
2008-07-24
2008-06-300.290.310.02
2008-04-24
2008-03-310.30.330.0310 
2008-02-11
2007-12-310.310.350.0412 
2007-10-25
2007-09-300.280.320.0414 
2007-07-25
2007-06-300.280.310.0310 
2007-04-26
2007-03-310.250.30.0520 
2007-02-12
2006-12-310.270.320.0518 
2006-10-26
2006-09-300.240.290.0520 
2006-07-27
2006-06-300.220.250.0313 
2006-04-27
2006-03-310.20.210.01
2006-02-13
2005-12-310.110.210.190 
2005-10-27
2005-09-30-0.21-0.26-0.0523 
2005-07-28
2005-06-300.160.170.01
2005-04-28
2005-03-310.150.170.0213 
2005-02-14
2004-12-310.150.180.0320 
2004-10-28
2004-09-300.010.010.0
2004-07-29
2004-06-300.130.160.0323 
2004-04-28
2004-03-310.120.140.0216 
2004-02-17
2003-12-310.120.140.0216 
2003-11-03
2003-09-300.090.120.0333 
2003-08-04
2003-06-300.080.10.0225 
2003-05-12
2003-03-310.060.080.0233 
2003-02-24
2002-12-310.050.080.0360 
2002-11-06
2002-09-300.030.040.0133 
2002-08-09
2002-06-300.020.030.0150 
2002-05-14
2002-03-310.010.020.01100 
2000-02-02
1999-12-31-0.04-0.09-0.05125 
1999-11-16
1999-09-300.01-0.05-0.06600 
1999-07-28
1999-06-300.010.10330.0933933 
1999-04-26
1999-03-31-0.08-0.15-0.0787 
1999-02-03
1998-12-310.01-0.05-0.06600 
1998-10-27
1998-09-300.01-0.03-0.04400 
1998-02-03
1997-12-3100.010.01
1997-10-29
1997-09-3000.010.01
1997-07-30
1997-06-3000.010.01
null
nullnullnullnull
1997-02-10
1996-12-3100.010.01
1996-11-22
1996-09-3000.010.01
1996-02-16
1995-12-3100.010.01

About Arch Capital Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Arch Capital earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Arch Capital estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Arch Capital fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Retained Earnings22.7 B23.8 B
Retained Earnings Total Equity18.3 B19.2 B
Earnings Yield 0.13  0.07 
Price Earnings Ratio 7.98  7.58 
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio(2.03)(1.93)

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When determining whether Arch Capital Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Arch Capital's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Arch Capital's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Arch Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Arch Capital Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arch Capital. If investors know Arch will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arch Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.49)
Earnings Share
9.75
Revenue Per Share
48.718
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.186
Return On Assets
0.038
The market value of Arch Capital Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arch that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arch Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arch Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arch Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arch Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arch Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Arch Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arch Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.