Arch Capital Group Stock Analysis

ACGL Stock  USD 88.35  0.31  0.35%   
Arch Capital Group is undervalued with Real Value of 101.03 and Target Price of 111.86. The main objective of Arch Capital stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Arch Capital Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Arch Capital's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Arch Capital stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Arch Capital Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Arch Stock Analysis Notes

About 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.6. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Arch Capital Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.24. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.75. The firm last dividend was issued on the 18th of November 2024. Arch Capital had 3:1 split on the 21st of June 2018. Arch Capital Group Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance products worldwide. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Pembroke, Bermuda. Arch Capital operates under InsuranceDiversified classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 5200 people. For more info on Arch Capital Group please contact Nicolas Papadopoulo at 441 278 9250 or go to https://www.archgroup.com.

Arch Capital Group Investment Alerts

Arch Capital Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Arch Capital Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Arch Insurance Deploys Guidewire for Claims Operations

Arch Capital Group Upcoming and Recent Events

14th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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24th of April 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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14th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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Arch Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Arch Capital's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2002-11-06
2002-09-300.030.040.0133 
2002-08-09
2002-06-300.020.030.0150 
2002-05-14
2002-03-310.010.020.01100 
View All Earnings Estimates

Arch Capital Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Arch Capital's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Arch Capital's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Arch Capital's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Arch Capital's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Arch Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Northern Trust Corp2025-03-31
M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-12-31
4.9 M
Madison Asset Management, Llc2025-03-31
4.8 M
Norges Bank2024-12-31
4.7 M
Madison Investment Advisors, Llc2024-12-31
4.4 M
Egerton Capital Llp2025-03-31
4.3 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2025-03-31
4.2 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-03-31
4.2 M
Nuveen, Llc2025-03-31
4.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2025-03-31
41.9 M
Blackrock Inc2025-03-31
33.4 M
Note, although Arch Capital's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Arch Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 33.11 B.

Arch Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.21 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.16 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.16.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.06  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.06  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.21  0.22 

Management Efficiency

Arch Capital Group has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.038 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.038 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.1842 %, meaning that it created $0.1842 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Arch Capital's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Arch Capital manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is expected to rise to 0.07 this year. Return On Capital Employed is expected to rise to 0.07 this year. At this time, Arch Capital's Fixed Asset Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year. Return On Assets is expected to rise to 0.06 this year, although the value of Non Currrent Assets Other are projected to rise to (36.9 B).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 55.89  58.69 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 52.27  54.88 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 7.45  7.83 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.65  0.87 
Enterprise Value Multiple 7.45  7.83 
Price Fair Value 1.65  0.87 
Enterprise Value22.5 B23.6 B
At Arch Capital Group, effective management practices are pivotal to sustaining long-term profitability. We delve into financial metrics and market conditions to provide a comprehensive analysis of the stock's prospects.
Operating Margin
0.1605
Profit Margin
0.2072
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0523
Beta
0.516
Return On Assets
0.038

Technical Drivers

As of the 19th of July, Arch Capital shows the mean deviation of 1.19, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03). Arch Capital Group technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Arch Capital Group standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and kurtosis to decide if Arch Capital Group is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 88.35 per share. Given that Arch Capital has information ratio of (0.13), we suggest you to validate Arch Capital Group's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Arch Capital Group Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was thirteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-eight. The Simple Moving Average indicator is calculated by adding the closing price of Arch Capital for a given number of time periods and then dividing this total by the number of time periods. It is used to smooth out Arch Capital Group short-term fluctuations and highlight longer-term trends or cycles.

Arch Capital Group Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Arch Capital insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Arch Capital's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Arch Capital insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Arch Capital Outstanding Bonds

Arch Capital issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Arch Capital Group uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Arch bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Arch Capital Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Arch Capital Predictive Daily Indicators

Arch Capital intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Arch Capital stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Arch Capital Corporate Filings

F4
20th of May 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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F4
14th of May 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
12th of May 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
9th of May 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8th of May 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
10Q
7th of May 2025
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
F4
6th of May 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
29th of April 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Arch Capital Forecast Models

Arch Capital's time-series forecasting models are one of many Arch Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Arch Capital's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Arch Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Arch Capital prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Arch shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Arch Capital. By using and applying Arch Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Arch entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.26  0.27 
Operating Profit Margin 0.26  0.15 
Net Profit Margin 0.25  0.26 
Gross Profit Margin 0.99  0.97 

Current Arch Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Arch analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Arch analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
111.86Strong Buy14Odds
Arch Capital Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Arch analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Arch stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Arch Capital Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Arch conference calls.
Arch Analyst Advice Details

Arch Stock Analysis Indicators

Arch Capital Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Arch Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Arch Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Arch Capital stock analysis, traders can identify Arch Capital position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow1.5 B
Total Stockholder Equity20.8 B
Cash And Short Term Investments979 M
Cash979 M
50 Day M A91.9864
Net Interest Income-141 M
Total Current Liabilities4.3 B
Forward Price Earnings11.6686
Investments-4.5 B
Interest Expense141 M
Stock Based Compensation133 M
Long Term Debt2.7 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding381.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-4.5 B
Tax Provision362 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.493
Free Cash Flow6.6 B
Accounts Payable4.3 B
Net Debt1.7 B
Other Operating Expenses13 B
Non Current Assets Total1.4 B
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity70.9 B
Non Currrent Assets Other-38.8 B
When determining whether Arch Capital Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Arch Capital's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Arch Capital's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Arch Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Arch Capital Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arch Capital. If investors know Arch will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arch Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.49)
Earnings Share
9.75
Revenue Per Share
48.718
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.186
Return On Assets
0.038
The market value of Arch Capital Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arch that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arch Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arch Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arch Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arch Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arch Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Arch Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arch Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.