Erie Indemnity Valuation

ERIE Stock  USD 419.32  4.82  1.14%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Erie Indemnity shows a prevailing Real Value of $265.06 per share. The current price of the firm is $419.32. Our model computes the value of Erie Indemnity from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 46.19 M, profit margin of 0.15 %, and Current Valuation of 21.78 B as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Erie Indemnity's valuation include:
Price Book
11.256
Enterprise Value
21.8 B
Price Sales
5.9442
Trailing PE
39.2254
Enterprise Value Revenue
5.7054
Overvalued
Today
419.32
Please note that Erie Indemnity's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Erie Indemnity is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Erie Indemnity's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Erie stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Erie Indemnity. Since Erie Indemnity is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Erie Stock. However, Erie Indemnity's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  419.32 Real  265.06 Target  115.0 Hype  421.86
The real value of Erie Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Erie Indemnity Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Erie Indemnity's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Erie Indemnity's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
263.10
Downside
265.06
Real Value
461.25
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Erie Indemnity helps investors to forecast how Erie stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Erie Indemnity more accurately as focusing exclusively on Erie Indemnity's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
2.852.902.85
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
377.39421.86423.82
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
104.65115.00127.65
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Erie Indemnity's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Erie Indemnity's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Erie Indemnity's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Erie Indemnity we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Erie Indemnity Cash

179.26 Million

Erie Valuation Trend

Comparing Erie Indemnity's enterprise value against its market capitalization is a good way to estimate the value of Erie Indemnity uage its performance over time. This information may sometimes be enough for investors to make reasonable market timing decisions.

Erie Revenue by Product

Erie Indemnity Total Value Analysis

Erie Indemnity is currently forecasted to have valuation of 21.78 B with market capitalization of 21.93 B, debt of 112.25 M, and cash on hands of 147.47 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Erie Indemnity fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
21.78 B
21.93 B
112.25 M
147.47 M

Erie Indemnity Investor Information

About 46.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.69. Erie Indemnity last dividend was issued on the 7th of January 2025. The entity had 3:1 split on the 13th of May 1996. Based on the key measurements obtained from Erie Indemnity's financial statements, Erie Indemnity may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average chance of going through some form of financial crunch next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities276.2 M381.2 M
Way Down
Very volatile

Erie Indemnity Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Erie Indemnity has an asset utilization ratio of 132.24 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $1.32 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Erie Indemnity is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Erie Indemnity Ownership Allocation

Erie Indemnity holds a total of 46.19 Million outstanding shares. Erie Indemnity retains significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Erie Indemnity Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.27 B. Net Income was 446.06 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 376.21 M.

Erie Indemnity Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Erie Indemnity's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Erie Indemnity and how it compares across the competition.

About Erie Indemnity Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Erie Indemnity's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Erie Indemnity. We calculate exposure to Erie Indemnity's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Erie Indemnity's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit520.3 M494.2 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.17  0.33 
Operating Profit Margin 0.16  0.19 
Net Profit Margin 0.14  0.14 
Gross Profit Margin 0.16  0.22 

Erie Indemnity Quarterly Retained Earnings

3.07 Billion

Erie Indemnity's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Erie Indemnity's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Erie Indemnity can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Erie Indemnity represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Erie, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Erie Indemnity Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At present, Erie Indemnity's Dividend Yield is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. . The current year's Earnings Yield is expected to grow to 0.05, whereas Retained Earnings are forecasted to decline to about 1.7 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid221.7 M232.8 M
Dividend Yield 0.01  0.02 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.50  0.41 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.21  1.15 
There are various types of dividends Erie Indemnity can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Erie shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Erie Indemnity directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Erie pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Erie Indemnity by the value of the dividends paid out.

Erie Indemnity Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Erie Indemnity does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding46.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.22

Erie Indemnity Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Erie Indemnity and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Erie we look at many different elements of the entity such as Erie's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Erie Indemnity, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Erie Indemnity's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Erie Indemnity's worth.

Complementary Tools for Erie Stock analysis

When running Erie Indemnity's price analysis, check to measure Erie Indemnity's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Erie Indemnity is operating at the current time. Most of Erie Indemnity's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Erie Indemnity's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Erie Indemnity's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Erie Indemnity to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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