Ardagh Metal Valuation
| AMBP Stock | USD 3.62 0.04 1.09% |
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Ardagh Metal Packaging shows a prevailing Real Value of $3.81 per share. The current price of the firm is $3.62. Our model approximates the value of Ardagh Metal Packaging from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as profit margin of (0.01) %, and Return On Equity of -0.64 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Ardagh Metal's valuation include:
Price Book 94.3249 | Enterprise Value 5.8 B | Enterprise Value Ebitda 10.3661 | Price Sales 0.4466 | Forward PE 15.674 |
Undervalued
Today
Please note that Ardagh Metal's price fluctuation is slightly risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Ardagh Metal Packaging is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Ardagh Metal's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Ardagh Metal's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 3.62, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 3.62 | Real 3.81 | Target 3.9 | Hype 3.63 | Naive 3.71 |
The intrinsic value of Ardagh Metal's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Ardagh Metal's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Ardagh Metal Packaging helps investors to forecast how Ardagh stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Ardagh Metal more accurately as focusing exclusively on Ardagh Metal's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Ardagh Metal's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Ardagh Metal's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Ardagh Metal's closest peers.
Ardagh Metal Cash |
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Ardagh Valuation Trend
Ardagh Metal's real value is important for investors to make better decisions and a more accurate overall view of Ardagh Metal's financial worth over time. Using both Ardagh Metal's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauge the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing conclusions.
Ardagh Valuation Data Drivers
Ardagh Metal Total Value Analysis
Ardagh Metal Packaging is presently forecasted to have valuation of 5.79 B with market capitalization of 2.16 B, debt of 3.73 B, and cash on hands of 583 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Ardagh Metal fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company| Takeover Price | Market Cap | Debt Obligations | Cash |
5.79 B | 2.16 B | 3.73 B | 583 M |
Ardagh Metal Investor Information
About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.59. Ardagh Metal Packaging recorded a loss per share of 0.12. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of December 2024. Based on the analysis of Ardagh Metal's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Ardagh Metal Packaging is not in a good financial situation at the present time. It has a very high likelihood of going through financial trouble in December.| Current Value | Last Year | Change From Last Year | 10 Year Trend | ||||||
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| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 414.7 M | 616 M |
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Ardagh Metal Asset Utilization
The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Ardagh Metal has an asset utilization ratio of 84.88 percent. This connotes that the Company is making $0.85 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Ardagh Metal Packaging is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.Ardagh Metal Ownership Allocation
Ardagh Metal holds a total of 597.69 Million outstanding shares. Ardagh Metal Packaging shows majority of its outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a corporate executive, director, member of the board or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. 76.04 percent of Ardagh Metal Packaging outstanding shares that are owned by insiders signifies that they have been buying or selling the stock in recent months in anticipation of some upcoming event. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.Ardagh Metal Profitability Analysis
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.81 B. Net Loss for the year was (50 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 593 M.Ardagh Metal Past Distributions to stockholders
About Ardagh Metal Valuation
The stock valuation mechanism determines Ardagh Metal's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Ardagh Metal Packaging based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Ardagh Metal. We calculate exposure to Ardagh Metal's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Ardagh Metal's related companies.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Gross Profit | 405 M | 418.3 M | |
| Pretax Profit Margin | (0.01) | (0.01) | |
| Operating Profit Margin | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
| Net Loss | (0.01) | (0.01) | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.08 | 0.15 |
A single share of Ardagh Metal represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Ardagh, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.
Ardagh Metal Dividends Analysis For Valuation
At this time, Ardagh Metal's Dividend Yield is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 11/17/2024, Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is likely to grow to 1.17, though Dividends Paid is likely to grow to (249.8 M). . As of 11/17/2024, Retained Earnings is likely to grow to about (445.6 M). In addition to that, Earnings Yield is likely to grow to -0.02
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Dividends Paid | -263 M | -249.8 M | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.11 | 0.12 | |
| Dividend Payout Ratio | (5.26) | (5.00) | |
| Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio | 0.96 | 1.17 |
There are various types of dividends Ardagh Metal can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Ardagh shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Ardagh Metal Packaging directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Ardagh pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Ardagh Metal by the value of the dividends paid out.
Ardagh Metal Growth Indicators
Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Ardagh Metal does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 597.6 M | |
| Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | 0.091 | |
| Forward Price Earnings | 15.674 |
Ardagh Metal Current Valuation Indicators
Ardagh Metal's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Ardagh Metal's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Ardagh Metal, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Ardagh Metal's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Ardagh Metal's worth.Additional Tools for Ardagh Stock Analysis
When running Ardagh Metal's price analysis, check to measure Ardagh Metal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ardagh Metal is operating at the current time. Most of Ardagh Metal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ardagh Metal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ardagh Metal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ardagh Metal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.