Assured Guaranty Valuation
| AGO Stock | USD 91.24 0.31 0.34% |
At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. Assured Guaranty shows a prevailing Real Value of $89.25 per share. The current price of the firm is $91.24. Our model approximates the value of Assured Guaranty from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 6.19 B, return on equity of 0.14, and Profit Margin of 0.85 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Assured Guaranty's valuation include:
Price Book 0.8135 | Enterprise Value 6.2 B | Price Sales 5.3748 | Forward PE 14.0845 | Trailing PE 7.1786 |
Fairly Valued
Today
Please note that Assured Guaranty's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Assured Guaranty is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Assured Guaranty's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Assured Guaranty is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Assured Stock. However, Assured Guaranty's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 91.24 | Real 89.25 | Target 75.0 | Hype 91.41 |
The intrinsic value of Assured Guaranty's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Assured Guaranty's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Assured Guaranty helps investors to forecast how Assured stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Assured Guaranty more accurately as focusing exclusively on Assured Guaranty's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Assured Guaranty's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Assured Guaranty's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Assured Guaranty's closest peers.
Assured Guaranty Cash |
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Assured Valuation Trend
Knowing Assured Guaranty's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Assured Guaranty's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.
Assured Guaranty Total Value Analysis
Assured Guaranty is presently forecasted to have company total value of 6.19 B with market capitalization of 4.66 B, debt of 1.69 B, and cash on hands of 1.44 B. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Assured Guaranty fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company| Takeover Price | Market Cap | Debt Obligations | Cash |
6.19 B | 4.66 B | 1.69 B | 1.44 B |
Assured Guaranty Investor Information
About 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.81. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Assured Guaranty has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.52. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.71. The firm last dividend was issued on the 22nd of November 2024. Assured Guaranty had 1:5 split on the December 3, 2010. Based on the key measurements obtained from Assured Guaranty's financial statements, Assured Guaranty may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average chance of going through some form of financial crunch next quarter.| Current Value | Last Year | Change From Last Year | 10 Year Trend | ||||||
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| Operating Profit Margin | 0.47 | 0.7358 |
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| Operating Income | 564.1 M | 515 M |
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Assured Guaranty Asset Utilization
The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Assured Guaranty has an asset utilization ratio of 10.95 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.11 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Assured Guaranty is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.Assured Guaranty Ownership Allocation
Assured Guaranty holds a total of 50.9 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Assured Guaranty outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Assured Guaranty to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Assured Guaranty. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Assured Guaranty as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that nearly four hundred twelve thousand two hundred ninety-six invesors are currently shorting Assured Guaranty expressing very little confidence in its future performance.Assured Guaranty Profitability Analysis
The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.37 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 739 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 788 M.Assured Guaranty Past Distributions to stockholders
About Assured Guaranty Valuation
We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Assured Guaranty. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Assured Guaranty based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Assured Guaranty's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Assured Guaranty's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Assured Guaranty. We calculate exposure to Assured Guaranty's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Assured Guaranty's related companies.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Gross Profit | 1 B | 1.1 B | |
| Pretax Profit Margin | 0.70 | 0.46 | |
| Operating Profit Margin | 0.74 | 0.47 | |
| Net Profit Margin | 0.78 | 0.82 | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.77 | 0.73 |
Assured Guaranty Quarterly Retained Earnings |
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A single share of Assured Guaranty represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Assured, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.
Assured Guaranty Dividends Analysis For Valuation
As of the 21st of November 2024, Dividend Payout Ratio is likely to grow to 0.12, though Dividends Paid is likely to grow to (63.6 M). . As of the 21st of November 2024, Retained Earnings is likely to drop to about 3.4 B. In addition to that, Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to drop to about 4.6 B
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Dividends Paid | -67 M | -63.6 M | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.02 | 0.01 | |
| Dividend Payout Ratio | 0.09 | 0.12 | |
| Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio | 6.88 | 5.04 |
There are various types of dividends Assured Guaranty can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Assured shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Assured Guaranty directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Assured pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Assured Guaranty by the value of the dividends paid out.
Assured Guaranty Growth Indicators
Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 59.6 M | |
| Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | 0.219 | |
| Forward Price Earnings | 14.0845 |
Assured Guaranty Current Valuation Indicators
Assured Guaranty's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Assured Guaranty's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Assured Guaranty, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Assured Guaranty's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Assured Guaranty's worth.When determining whether Assured Guaranty offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Assured Guaranty's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Assured Guaranty Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Assured Guaranty Stock: Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Assured Guaranty. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. To learn how to invest in Assured Stock, please use our How to Invest in Assured Guaranty guide.You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Assured Guaranty. If investors know Assured will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Assured Guaranty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.219 | Dividend Share 1.21 | Earnings Share 12.71 | Revenue Per Share 15.821 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.01 |
The market value of Assured Guaranty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Assured that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Assured Guaranty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Assured Guaranty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Assured Guaranty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Assured Guaranty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Assured Guaranty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Assured Guaranty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Assured Guaranty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.