Falcon Metals (Australia) Technical Analysis

FAL Stock   0.82  0.11  15.49%   
As of the 24th of January, Falcon Metals shows the Downside Deviation of 4.88, coefficient of variation of 1786.58, and Mean Deviation of 3.53. Falcon Metals technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices.

Falcon Metals Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Falcon, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Falcon
  
Falcon Metals' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Falcon Metals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Falcon Metals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Falcon Metals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Falcon Metals 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Falcon Metals' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Falcon Metals.
0.00
10/26/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
01/24/2026
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If you would invest  0.00  in Falcon Metals on October 26, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Falcon Metals or generate 0.0% return on investment in Falcon Metals over 90 days. Falcon Metals is related to or competes with Northern Star, Evolution Mining, Alcoa, Bluescope Steel, Ramelius Resources, Genesis Minerals, and Sandfire Resources. Falcon Metals is entity of Australia. It is traded as Stock on AU exchange. More

Falcon Metals Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Falcon Metals' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Falcon Metals upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Falcon Metals Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Falcon Metals' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Falcon Metals' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Falcon Metals historical prices to predict the future Falcon Metals' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.825.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.625.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.795.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.420.600.78
Details

Falcon Metals January 24, 2026 Technical Indicators

Falcon Metals Backtested Returns

Falcon Metals appears to be abnormally volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Falcon Metals secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0919, which denotes the company had a 0.0919 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Falcon Metals, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Falcon Metals' Mean Deviation of 3.53, downside deviation of 4.88, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1786.58 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Falcon Metals holds a performance score of 7. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0976, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Falcon Metals' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Falcon Metals is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Falcon Metals' coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, sortino ratio, as well as the relationship between the information ratio and total risk alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Falcon Metals' price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.76  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Falcon Metals has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Falcon Metals time series from 26th of October 2025 to 10th of December 2025 and 10th of December 2025 to 24th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Falcon Metals price movement. The serial correlation of -0.76 indicates that around 76.0% of current Falcon Metals price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.76
Spearman Rank Test-0.7
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01
Falcon Metals technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Falcon Metals technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Falcon Metals trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Falcon Metals Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was thirty-six with a total number of output elements of twenty-five. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Falcon Metals volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About Falcon Metals Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Falcon Metals on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Falcon Metals based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Falcon Metals price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Falcon Metals. By analyzing Falcon Metals's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Falcon Metals's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Falcon Metals specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Falcon Metals January 24, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Falcon help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Falcon from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Falcon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Falcon Metals January 24, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Falcon stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Additional Tools for Falcon Stock Analysis

When running Falcon Metals' price analysis, check to measure Falcon Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Falcon Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Falcon Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Falcon Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Falcon Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Falcon Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.