Capitol Federal (Germany) Technical Analysis

CFW Stock  EUR 5.60  0.05  0.90%   
As of the 28th of January, Capitol Federal shows the Downside Deviation of 2.13, risk adjusted performance of 0.0568, and Mean Deviation of 1.42. Capitol Federal Financial technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Capitol Federal Financial maximum drawdown, semi variance, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside to decide if Capitol Federal Financial is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 5.6 per share.

Capitol Federal Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Capitol, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Capitol
  
Capitol Federal's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Capitol Federal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Capitol Federal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capitol Federal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Capitol Federal 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Capitol Federal's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Capitol Federal.
0.00
10/30/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
01/28/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Capitol Federal on October 30, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Capitol Federal Financial or generate 0.0% return on investment in Capitol Federal over 90 days. Capitol Federal is related to or competes with Thai Beverage, Tsingtao Brewery, Monster Beverage, THAI BEVERAGE, and Avanos Medical. Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. operates as the holding company for Capitol Federal Savings Bank that provides various r... More

Capitol Federal Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Capitol Federal's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Capitol Federal Financial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Capitol Federal Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Capitol Federal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Capitol Federal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Capitol Federal historical prices to predict the future Capitol Federal's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.795.557.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.745.507.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.005.767.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.355.625.90
Details

Capitol Federal January 28, 2026 Technical Indicators

Capitol Federal Financial Backtested Returns

Capitol Federal appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Capitol Federal Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.13, which signifies that the company had a 0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Capitol Federal Financial, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Capitol Federal's Mean Deviation of 1.42, risk adjusted performance of 0.0568, and Downside Deviation of 2.13 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Capitol Federal holds a performance score of 10. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.22, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Capitol Federal's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Capitol Federal is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Capitol Federal's maximum drawdown, semi variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether Capitol Federal's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.42  

Modest reverse predictability

Capitol Federal Financial has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Capitol Federal time series from 30th of October 2025 to 14th of December 2025 and 14th of December 2025 to 28th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Capitol Federal Financial price movement. The serial correlation of -0.42 indicates that just about 42.0% of current Capitol Federal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.42
Spearman Rank Test-0.56
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02
Capitol Federal technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Capitol Federal technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Capitol Federal trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Capitol Federal Financial Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Capitol Federal Financial across different markets.

About Capitol Federal Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Capitol Federal Financial on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Capitol Federal Financial based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Capitol Federal Financial price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Capitol Federal Financial. By analyzing Capitol Federal's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Capitol Federal's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Capitol Federal specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Capitol Federal January 28, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Capitol help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Capitol from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Capitol charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Capitol Federal January 28, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Capitol stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for Capitol Stock analysis

When running Capitol Federal's price analysis, check to measure Capitol Federal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capitol Federal is operating at the current time. Most of Capitol Federal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capitol Federal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capitol Federal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capitol Federal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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