Capitol Federal (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.40

CFW Stock  EUR 6.40  0.15  2.40%   
Capitol Federal's future price is the expected price of Capitol Federal instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Capitol Federal Financial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Capitol Federal Analysis, Capitol Federal Valuation, Capitol Federal Correlation, Capitol Federal Hype Analysis, Capitol Federal Volatility, Capitol Federal Price History as well as Capitol Federal Performance.
  
Please specify Capitol Federal's target price for which you would like Capitol Federal odds to be computed.

Capitol Federal Target Price Odds to finish over 6.40

The tendency of Capitol Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 6.40 90 days 6.40 
about 1.27
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capitol Federal to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.27 (This Capitol Federal Financial probability density function shows the probability of Capitol Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Capitol Federal has a beta of 0.5 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Capitol Federal average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Capitol Federal Financial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Capitol Federal Financial has an alpha of 0.2863, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Capitol Federal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Capitol Federal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capitol Federal Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.576.388.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.347.158.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.416.228.03
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.130.130.13
Details

Capitol Federal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capitol Federal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capitol Federal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capitol Federal Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capitol Federal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.50
σ
Overall volatility
0.34
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Capitol Federal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capitol Federal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capitol Federal Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: How Capitol Federal Financial Inc. Affects Rotational Strategy Timing - Stock Traders Daily

Capitol Federal Technical Analysis

Capitol Federal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capitol Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capitol Federal Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capitol Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Capitol Federal Predictive Forecast Models

Capitol Federal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Capitol Federal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capitol Federal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Capitol Federal Financial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Capitol Federal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Capitol Federal Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: How Capitol Federal Financial Inc. Affects Rotational Strategy Timing - Stock Traders Daily
When determining whether Capitol Federal Financial offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Capitol Federal's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Capitol Federal Financial Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Capitol Federal Financial Stock:
It's important to distinguish between Capitol Federal's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Capitol Federal should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Capitol Federal's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.