First Busey Corp Stock Technical Analysis
| BUSE Stock | USD 24.68 0.29 1.19% |
As of the 29th of January, First Busey shows the Downside Deviation of 1.49, mean deviation of 1.15, and Coefficient Of Variation of 818.05. First Busey Corp technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm First Busey Corp treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and kurtosis to decide if First Busey Corp is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 24.68 per share. Given that First Busey has jensen alpha of 0.1327, we urge you to verify First Busey Corp's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
First Busey Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as First, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FirstFirst Busey's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could First diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Busey. Projected growth potential of First fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every First Busey data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate First Busey Corp using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating First Busey's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause First Busey's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between First Busey's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding First Busey should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, First Busey's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
First Busey 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Busey's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Busey.
| 10/31/2025 |
| 01/29/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Busey on October 31, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Busey Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Busey over 90 days. First Busey is related to or competes with Customers Bancorp, First Bancorp, Stock Yards, Hilltop Holdings, Enterprise Financial, Nicolet Bankshares, and NBT Bancorp. First Busey Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Busey Bank that provides retail and commercial banking ... More
First Busey Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Busey's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Busey Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.083 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.86 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.89) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.71 |
First Busey Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Busey's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Busey's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Busey historical prices to predict the future First Busey's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0941 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1327 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0706 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0867 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1923 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Busey's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Busey January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0941 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2023 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 818.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Variance | 2.44 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.083 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1327 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0706 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0867 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1923 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.86 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.89) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.71 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.23 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.68 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.28) | |||
| Skewness | 0.0897 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.2 |
First Busey Corp Backtested Returns
At this point, First Busey is very steady. First Busey Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.12, which denotes the company had a 0.12 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for First Busey Corp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm First Busey's Downside Deviation of 1.49, mean deviation of 1.15, and Coefficient Of Variation of 818.05 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.19%. First Busey has a performance score of 9 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.94, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. First Busey returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Busey is expected to follow. First Busey Corp right now shows a risk of 1.56%. Please confirm First Busey Corp treynor ratio, kurtosis, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to decide if First Busey Corp will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.29 |
Poor predictability
First Busey Corp has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Busey time series from 31st of October 2025 to 15th of December 2025 and 15th of December 2025 to 29th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Busey Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current First Busey price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.29 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.08 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.29 |
First Busey technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
First Busey Corp Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of First Busey Corp volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About First Busey Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of First Busey Corp on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Busey Corp based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on First Busey Corp price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding First Busey Corp. By analyzing First Busey's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of First Busey's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to First Busey specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
First Busey January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of First help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0941 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2023 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 818.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Variance | 2.44 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.083 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1327 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0706 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0867 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1923 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.86 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.89) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.71 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.23 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.68 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.28) | |||
| Skewness | 0.0897 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.2 |
First Busey January 29, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 22,373 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.51 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | ||
| Day Median Price | 24.56 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 24.60 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.27 |
Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis
When running First Busey's price analysis, check to measure First Busey's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Busey is operating at the current time. Most of First Busey's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Busey's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Busey's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Busey to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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