Alarum Technologies Stock Technical Analysis
| ALAR Stock | 7.42 0.13 1.78% |
As of the 18th of February 2026, Alarum Technologies shows the mean deviation of 3.04, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.15). Alarum Technologies technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Alarum Technologies standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and kurtosis to decide if Alarum Technologies is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 7.42 per share. Given that Alarum Technologies has information ratio of (0.21), we suggest you to validate Alarum Technologies's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Alarum Technologies Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Alarum, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AlarumAlarum Technologies' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Alarum Technologies Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 23.5 | Strong Buy | 2 | Odds |
Most Alarum analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Alarum stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Alarum Technologies, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Alarum conference calls.
Can Application Software industry sustain growth momentum? Does Alarum have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alarum Technologies. If investors know Alarum will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Alarum Technologies demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.99) | Earnings Share 0.2 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.809 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Alarum Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alarum that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alarum Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alarum Technologies' true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because Alarum Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alarum Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Alarum Technologies' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Alarum Technologies represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Alarum Technologies' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Alarum Technologies 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alarum Technologies' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alarum Technologies.
| 11/20/2025 |
| 02/18/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Alarum Technologies on November 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alarum Technologies or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alarum Technologies over 90 days. Alarum Technologies is related to or competes with Helport AI, ZenaTech, VirnetX Holding, MicroAlgo, WM Technology, Nerdy, and Roadzen. Alarum Technologies is entity of United States More
Alarum Technologies Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alarum Technologies' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alarum Technologies upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.21) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 25.25 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.84) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.82 |
Alarum Technologies Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alarum Technologies' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alarum Technologies' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alarum Technologies historical prices to predict the future Alarum Technologies' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.15) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.99) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.16) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.54) |
Alarum Technologies February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.15) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.53) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.04 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (508.29) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.59 | |||
| Variance | 21.1 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.21) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.99) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.16) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.54) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 25.25 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.84) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.82 | |||
| Skewness | (0.61) | |||
| Kurtosis | 6.95 |
Alarum Technologies Backtested Returns
Alarum Technologies secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.14, which signifies that the company had a -0.14 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Alarum Technologies exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Alarum Technologies' mean deviation of 3.04, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.15) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.68, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Alarum Technologies will likely underperform. At this point, Alarum Technologies has a negative expected return of -0.65%. Please make sure to confirm Alarum Technologies' standard deviation, kurtosis, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day median price , to decide if Alarum Technologies performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.64 |
Good predictability
Alarum Technologies has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alarum Technologies time series from 20th of November 2025 to 4th of January 2026 and 4th of January 2026 to 18th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alarum Technologies price movement. The serial correlation of 0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current Alarum Technologies price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.64 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.44 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.12 |
Alarum Technologies technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Alarum Technologies Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Alarum Technologies volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Alarum Technologies Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Alarum Technologies on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alarum Technologies based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Alarum Technologies price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Alarum Technologies. By analyzing Alarum Technologies's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Alarum Technologies's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Alarum Technologies specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Graham Number | 0.77 | 0.69 | Receivables Turnover | 7.67 | 8.05 |
Alarum Technologies February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Alarum help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alarum from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Alarum charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.15) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.53) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.04 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (508.29) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.59 | |||
| Variance | 21.1 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.21) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.99) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.16) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.54) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 25.25 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.84) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.82 | |||
| Skewness | (0.61) | |||
| Kurtosis | 6.95 |
Alarum Technologies February 18, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alarum stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 491.77 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.42 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | ||
| Day Median Price | 7.40 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 7.40 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.09 |
Additional Tools for Alarum Stock Analysis
When running Alarum Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Alarum Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alarum Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Alarum Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alarum Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alarum Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alarum Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.