Triple Flag Precious Stock Analysis

TFPM Stock  USD 23.07  0.31  1.33%   
Triple Flag Precious is overvalued with Real Value of 20.8 and Target Price of 22.5. The main objective of Triple Flag stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Triple Flag Precious is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Triple Flag's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Triple Flag stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Triple Flag is usually not traded on Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day. Triple Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Triple Flag Precious. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Triple Stock Analysis Notes

About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Triple Flag was at this time reported as 8.77. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of May 2025. Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp., a gold-focused streaming and royalty company, engages in acquiring and managing precious metals and other streams and royalties in Australia, Canada, Colombia, Mongolia, Peru, South Africa, and the United States. Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. is a subsidiary of Triple Flag Mining Elliott and Management Co-Invest LP. Triple Flag is traded on New York Stock Exchange in the United States. To find out more about Triple Flag Precious contact BSc eng at 416-304-9741 or learn more at https://www.tripleflagpm.com.

Triple Flag Quarterly Total Revenue

82.25 Million

Triple Flag Precious Investment Alerts

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 268.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (23.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 256.53 M.
Triple Flag Precious has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 16th of June 2025 Triple Flag paid $ 0.055 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Triple Flag Price Target Increased by National Bank TFPM Stock News

Triple Flag Precious Upcoming and Recent Events

21st of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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14th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
21st of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Triple Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Triple Flag's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-02-22
2021-12-310.080.090.0112 
2021-11-10
2021-09-300.080.090.0112 
2025-02-19
2024-12-310.160.180.0212 
View All Earnings Estimates

Triple Flag Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Triple Flag's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Triple Flag's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Triple Flag's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Triple Flag's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Triple Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Scs Capital Management Llc2025-03-31
792.6 K
Sprott Inc.2025-03-31
787.1 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-03-31
781.6 K
Dixon Mitchell Investment Counsel Inc2025-03-31
564 K
Jarislowsky Fraser Ltd2025-03-31
547.6 K
Bank Of Montreal2025-03-31
542.3 K
Bmo Capital Markets Corp.2025-03-31
542.3 K
Amvescap Plc.2025-03-31
535.2 K
Amundi2025-03-31
529.4 K
Elliott Investment Management Lp2025-03-31
133.8 M
Fmr Inc2025-03-31
M
Note, although Triple Flag's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Triple Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 4.83 B.

Triple Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.02 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.54 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.54.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Capital Employed(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Equity(0.01)(0.01)

Management Efficiency

Triple Flag Precious has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0156 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0156 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Triple Flag's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Triple Flag manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 17th of July 2025, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to grow to -0.01. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to -0.0098. At this time, Triple Flag's Non Currrent Assets Other are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 17th of July 2025, Other Current Assets is likely to grow to about 15.7 M, while Total Assets are likely to drop about 1.2 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 8.62  9.05 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 8.62  9.05 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 45.73  48.02 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.74  1.83 
Enterprise Value Multiple 45.73  48.02 
Price Fair Value 1.74  1.83 
Enterprise ValueB3.1 B
Effective leadership at Triple Flag drives its competitive edge in the market. Our analysis focuses on how this translates to financial performance and stock value.
Dividend Yield
0.0093
Operating Margin
0.5401
Profit Margin
0.0171
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0093
Beta
(0.19)

Technical Drivers

As of the 17th of July 2025, Triple Flag has the Coefficient Of Variation of 1052.5, semi deviation of 2.52, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0962. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Triple Flag Precious, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Triple Flag Precious coefficient of variation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and semi variance to decide if Triple Flag is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 23.07 per share. Given that Triple Flag Precious has jensen alpha of 0.3615, we advise you to double-check Triple Flag Precious's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Triple Flag Precious Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was nineteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Triple Flag middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Triple Flag Precious. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Triple Flag Outstanding Bonds

Triple Flag issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Triple Flag Precious uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Triple bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Triple Flag Precious has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Triple Flag Predictive Daily Indicators

Triple Flag intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Triple Flag stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Triple Flag Corporate Filings

6K
10th of July 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
9th of July 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
8th of May 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
6th of May 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
23rd of April 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
22nd of April 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
9th of April 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
28th of March 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify

Triple Flag Forecast Models

Triple Flag's time-series forecasting models are one of many Triple Flag's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Triple Flag's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Triple Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Triple Flag prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Triple shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Triple Flag. By using and applying Triple Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Triple entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.05)(0.05)
Operating Profit Margin(0.07)(0.06)
Net Loss(0.09)(0.08)
Gross Profit Margin 0.86  0.90 

Current Triple Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Triple analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Triple analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
22.5Strong Buy10Odds
Triple Flag Precious current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Triple analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Triple stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Triple Flag Precious, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Triple conference calls.
Triple Analyst Advice Details

Triple Stock Analysis Indicators

Triple Flag Precious stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Triple Flag stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Triple Flag shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Triple Flag stock analysis, traders can identify Triple Flag position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow17.4 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding201.3 M
Total Stockholder Equity1.7 B
Tax Provision10.3 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y1.615
Property Plant And Equipment Net1.6 B
Cash And Short Term Investments39.3 M
Cash36.2 M
Accounts Payable2.8 M
Net Debt-34.6 M
50 Day M A22.7936
Total Current Liabilities27.1 M
Other Operating Expenses287 M
Non Current Assets Total1.7 B
Forward Price Earnings28.9855
Non Currrent Assets Other47.7 M
Stock Based Compensation4.3 M
When determining whether Triple Flag Precious is a strong investment it is important to analyze Triple Flag's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Triple Flag's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Triple Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Triple Flag Precious. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Triple Flag. If investors know Triple will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Triple Flag listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.615
Dividend Share
0.218
Earnings Share
0.03
Revenue Per Share
1.459
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.43
The market value of Triple Flag Precious is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Triple that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Triple Flag's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Triple Flag's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Triple Flag's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Triple Flag's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Triple Flag's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Triple Flag is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Triple Flag's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.