Armour Residential Reit Stock Analysis

ARR Stock  USD 15.07  1.33  8.11%   
ARMOUR Residential REIT is undervalued with Real Value of 18.0 and Target Price of 20.0. The main objective of ARMOUR Residential stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what ARMOUR Residential REIT is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of ARMOUR Residential's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The ARMOUR Residential stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. ARMOUR Residential is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, National Mourning Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. ARMOUR Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in ARMOUR Residential REIT. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

ARMOUR Stock Analysis Notes

About 43.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.96. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. ARMOUR Residential REIT recorded a loss per share of 0.51. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of April 2025. The firm had 1:5 split on the 2nd of October 2023. ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. invests in residential mortgage-backed securities in the United States. ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Vero Beach, Florida. Armour Residential operates under REITMortgage classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. For more info on ARMOUR Residential REIT please contact Scott Ulm at 772 617 4340 or go to https://www.armourreit.com.

ARMOUR Residential REIT Investment Alerts

ARMOUR Residential generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ARMOUR Residential has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Reported Net Loss for the year was (14.39 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 39.26 M.
ARMOUR Residential has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 27th of March 2025 ARMOUR Residential paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from stockhead.com.au: Break it Down Astral shooting for gold success

ARMOUR Residential REIT Upcoming and Recent Events

21st of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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24th of April 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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21st of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

ARMOUR Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact ARMOUR Residential's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-07-27
2022-06-300.260.290.0311 
2022-10-26
2022-09-300.280.320.0414 
2021-07-22
2021-06-300.270.21-0.0622 
View All Earnings Estimates

ARMOUR Residential Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

ARMOUR Residential's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates ARMOUR Residential's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of ARMOUR Residential's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect ARMOUR Residential's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

ARMOUR Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-06-30
1.3 M
Van Eck Associates Corporation2023-06-30
1.2 M
Principal Financial Group Inc2023-06-30
1.1 M
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2023-06-30
746.6 K
Ameriprise Financial Inc2023-06-30
712.2 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2023-06-30
694.5 K
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2023-06-30
658.5 K
Rhumbline Advisers2023-06-30
557.5 K
Legal & General Group Plc2023-06-30
546.3 K
Blackrock Inc2023-06-30
33.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-06-30
21.4 M
Note, although ARMOUR Residential's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

ARMOUR Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 1.21 B.

ARMOUR Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of (0.37) %, which means that it does not effectively control expenditures or properly executes on its pricing strategies. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 1.33 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $1.33 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Capital Employed(0.09)(0.08)
Return On Equity(0.01)(0.01)

Management Efficiency

As of 04/05/2025, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.0011. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to -0.08. At this time, ARMOUR Residential's Other Current Assets are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 04/05/2025, Other Assets is likely to grow to about 13.4 B, while Non Current Assets Total are likely to drop slightly above 610.4 M. ARMOUR Residential's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well ARMOUR Residential manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 26.10  24.80 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 26.10  24.80 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 20.16  37.94 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.72  0.69 
Enterprise Value Multiple 20.16  37.94 
Price Fair Value 0.72  0.69 
Enterprise Value6.6 B6.9 B
The strategic initiatives led by ARMOUR Residential's management are central to its market success. By analyzing these initiatives, we provide a clear picture of the stock's growth prospects.
Dividend Yield
0.1911
Operating Margin
1.3287
Profit Margin
(0.37)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.1911
Beta
1.239

Technical Drivers

As of the 5th of April, ARMOUR Residential shows the Mean Deviation of 1.0, coefficient of variation of (614.86), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.19). ARMOUR Residential REIT technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm ARMOUR Residential REIT standard deviation and value at risk to decide if ARMOUR Residential REIT is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 15.07 per share. Given that ARMOUR Residential has information ratio of (0.06), we suggest you to validate ARMOUR Residential REIT's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself in the future.

ARMOUR Residential REIT Price Movement Analysis

Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. ARMOUR Residential middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for ARMOUR Residential REIT. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

ARMOUR Residential REIT Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific ARMOUR Residential insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on ARMOUR Residential's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases ARMOUR Residential insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Robert Hain over two weeks ago
Disposition of 520 shares by Robert Hain of ARMOUR Residential subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Carolyn Downey over two months ago
Acquisition by Carolyn Downey of 874 shares of ARMOUR Residential at 18.86 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Daniel Staton over three months ago
Acquisition by Daniel Staton of 480 shares of ARMOUR Residential subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Scott Ulm over three months ago
Disposition of 4380 shares by Scott Ulm of ARMOUR Residential subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Daniel Staton over six months ago
Acquisition by Daniel Staton of 2966 shares of ARMOUR Residential at 19.85 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Stewart Paperin over six months ago
Acquisition by Stewart Paperin of 834 shares of ARMOUR Residential at 19.77 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Stewart Paperin over a year ago
Acquisition by Stewart Paperin of 834 shares of ARMOUR Residential at 19.77 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Jeffrey Zimmer over a year ago
Exercise or conversion by Jeffrey Zimmer of 4380 shares of ARMOUR Residential subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Jeffrey Zimmer over a year ago
Exercise or conversion by Jeffrey Zimmer of 4380 shares of ARMOUR Residential subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Zimmerman Jordan over a year ago
Acquisition by Zimmerman Jordan of tradable shares of ARMOUR Residential subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Jeffrey Zimmer over a year ago
Exercise or conversion by Jeffrey Zimmer of 21900 shares of ARMOUR Residential subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Jeffrey Zimmer over a year ago
Exercise or conversion by Jeffrey Zimmer of 11640 shares of ARMOUR Residential subject to Rule 16b-3

ARMOUR Residential Outstanding Bonds

ARMOUR Residential issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. ARMOUR Residential REIT uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most ARMOUR bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when ARMOUR Residential REIT has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

ARMOUR Residential Predictive Daily Indicators

ARMOUR Residential intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of ARMOUR Residential stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

ARMOUR Residential Corporate Filings

F4
2nd of April 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
1st of April 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
25th of March 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
20th of March 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
13th of March 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
25th of February 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
12th of February 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

ARMOUR Residential Forecast Models

ARMOUR Residential's time-series forecasting models are one of many ARMOUR Residential's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary ARMOUR Residential's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About ARMOUR Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how ARMOUR Residential prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling ARMOUR shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as ARMOUR Residential. By using and applying ARMOUR Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying ARMOUR entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 30.11  31.62 
Operating Profit Margin1.9 KK
Net Profit Margin 30.11  31.62 
Gross Profit Margin 1.83  1.92 

Current ARMOUR Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. ARMOUR analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. ARMOUR analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
20.0Hold6Odds
ARMOUR Residential REIT current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most ARMOUR analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand ARMOUR stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of ARMOUR Residential REIT, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to ARMOUR conference calls.
ARMOUR Analyst Advice Details

ARMOUR Stock Analysis Indicators

ARMOUR Residential REIT stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how ARMOUR Residential stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading ARMOUR Residential shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying ARMOUR Residential stock analysis, traders can identify ARMOUR Residential position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow258.9 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding52.2 M
Total Stockholder Equity1.4 B
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.571
Cash And Short Term Investments68 M
Cash68 M
Accounts Payable40.6 M
Net Debt-68 M
50 Day M A18.4642
Total Current Liabilities144.1 M
Other Operating Expenses-478 K
Non Current Assets Total642.6 M
Forward Price Earnings5.2882
Non Currrent Assets Other-642.6 M
Stock Based Compensation3.2 M

Additional Tools for ARMOUR Stock Analysis

When running ARMOUR Residential's price analysis, check to measure ARMOUR Residential's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ARMOUR Residential is operating at the current time. Most of ARMOUR Residential's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ARMOUR Residential's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ARMOUR Residential's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ARMOUR Residential to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.