Ares Commercial Stock Analysis - 2025 | ACRE - Macroaxis Ares Commercial Real is overvalued with Real Value of 4.2 and Target Price of 4.69. The main objective of Ares Commercial stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Ares Commercial Real is worth, separate from its market price. Here we analyze Ares Commercial Real Stock, including Ares Commercial investment evaluation, its stock diagnostics and alerts, and provide predictive tools such as Ares Commercial's market volatility and liquidity estimators.

Ares Commercial Real Stock Analysis

ACRE Stock  USD 4.61  0.06  1.28%   
Ares Commercial Real is overvalued with Real Value of 4.2 and Target Price of 4.69. The main objective of Ares Commercial stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Ares Commercial Real is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Ares Commercial's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Ares Commercial stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Ares Commercial's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ares Commercial Real. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Ares Stock Analysis Notes

About 45.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.47. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ares Commercial Real has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.57. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.24. The firm last dividend was issued on the 30th of June 2025. Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation, a specialty finance company, originates and invests in commercial real estate loans and related investments in the United States. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is based in New York, New York. Ares Commercial operates under REITMortgage classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. For more info on Ares Commercial Real please contact Bryan Donohoe at 212 750 7300 or go to https://www.arescre.com.

Ares Commercial Real Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Ares Commercial's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Ares Commercial Real or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Ares Commercial Real had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Ares Commercial Real has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (34.99 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 67.13 M.
On 15th of April 2025 Ares Commercial paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation most popular amongst individual investors who own 53 percent of the shares, institutions hold 45

Ares Commercial Real Upcoming and Recent Events

21st of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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7th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
21st of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Ares Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Ares Commercial's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2023-11-03
2023-09-300.190.17-0.0210 
2018-05-01
2018-03-310.30.330.0310 
2015-05-07
2015-03-310.220.250.0313 
View All Earnings Estimates

Ares Commercial Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Ares Commercial's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Ares Commercial's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Ares Commercial's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Ares Commercial's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Ares Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2025-03-31
419.4 K
Bi Asset Management Fondsmaeglerselskab A/s2024-12-31
364.3 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-12-31
317 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
315.9 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-12-31
305.7 K
Jane Street Group Llc2024-12-31
263.6 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-03-31
228.1 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-12-31
225 K
Ameriprise Financial Inc2025-03-31
220 K
Blackrock Inc2025-03-31
4.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2025-03-31
M
Note, although Ares Commercial's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Ares Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 253.57 M.

Ares Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.2) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.47 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.47.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Capital Employed(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Assets(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Equity(0.06)(0.06)

Management Efficiency

The current year's Return On Tangible Assets is expected to grow to -0.02. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to -0.0057. At present, Ares Commercial's Other Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. Ares Commercial's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Ares Commercial manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 9.92  17.39 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 9.92  16.76 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 25.69  30.97 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.59  0.65 
Enterprise Value Multiple 25.69  30.97 
Price Fair Value 0.59  0.65 
Enterprise Value1.4 B973.2 M
The strategic initiatives led by Ares Commercial's management are central to its market success. By analyzing these initiatives, we provide a clear picture of the stock's growth prospects.
Dividend Yield
0.1302
Operating Margin
0.4745
Profit Margin
(0.20)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.1302
Beta
1.329

Technical Drivers

As of the 29th of May, Ares Commercial shows the risk adjusted performance of 0.0083, and Mean Deviation of 2.21. Ares Commercial Real technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Ares Commercial Real downside deviation, treynor ratio, expected short fall, as well as the relationship between the variance and potential upside to decide if Ares Commercial Real is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 4.61 per share. Given that Ares Commercial has jensen alpha of 0.0464, we suggest you to validate Ares Commercial Real's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Ares Commercial Real Price Movement Analysis

Illegal number of arguments. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. Ares Commercial Real Triple Exponential Moving Average indicator shows smoothing effect of Ares Commercial price series composite of a single exponential moving average, a double exponential moving average and a triple exponential moving average.

Ares Commercial Real Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Ares Commercial insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Ares Commercial's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Ares Commercial insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Ares Commercial Outstanding Bonds

Ares Commercial issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Ares Commercial Real uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Ares bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Ares Commercial Real has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Ares Commercial Predictive Daily Indicators

Ares Commercial intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Ares Commercial stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Ares Commercial Corporate Filings

8K
28th of May 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
7th of May 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
1st of May 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
30th of April 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
17th of April 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
4th of April 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
3rd of April 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
20th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify

Ares Commercial Forecast Models

Ares Commercial's time-series forecasting models are one of many Ares Commercial's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Ares Commercial's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Ares Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Ares Commercial prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Ares shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Ares Commercial. By using and applying Ares Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Ares entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 2.30  2.41 
Operating Profit Margin(12.24)(11.62)
Net Profit Margin 2.30  2.41 
Gross Profit Margin(97.39)(92.52)

Current Ares Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Ares analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Ares analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
4.69Hold7Odds
Ares Commercial Real current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Ares analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Ares stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Ares Commercial Real, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Ares conference calls.
Ares Analyst Advice Details

Ares Stock Analysis Indicators

Ares Commercial Real stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Ares Commercial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Ares Commercial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Ares Commercial stock analysis, traders can identify Ares Commercial position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow110.5 M
Long Term Debt583.9 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding54.4 M
Total Stockholder Equity540.1 M
Tax Provision-18 K
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y15.981
Cash And Short Term Investments72.5 M
Cash63.8 M
Accounts Payable1.3 M
Net Debt1.1 B
50 Day M A4.34
Total Current Liabilities607.5 M
Other Operating Expenses-15.2 M
Non Current Assets Total8.7 M
Forward Price Earnings7.3368
Stock Based Compensation4.7 M

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When running Ares Commercial's price analysis, check to measure Ares Commercial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ares Commercial is operating at the current time. Most of Ares Commercial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ares Commercial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ares Commercial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ares Commercial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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