Winnebago Industries Stock Price Prediction
| WGO Stock | USD 61.10 0.01 0.02% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
37
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.44) | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.01 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.35 | Wall Street Target Price 63.78 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.89 |
Using Winnebago Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Winnebago Industries from the perspective of Winnebago Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Winnebago Industries Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Winnebago Industries' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Winnebago. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Winnebago can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Winnebago Industries. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Winnebago Industries' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Winnebago Industries.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Winnebago Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Winnebago because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Winnebago Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 61.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Winnebago |
Winnebago Industries After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Winnebago Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Winnebago Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Winnebago Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Winnebago Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Winnebago Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Winnebago Industries' historical news coverage. Winnebago Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 58.93 and 63.91, respectively. We have considered Winnebago Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Winnebago Industries is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Winnebago Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
Winnebago Industries Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Winnebago Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Winnebago Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Winnebago Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 2.49 | 0.32 | 0.02 | 12 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
61.10 | 61.42 | 0.52 |
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Winnebago Industries Hype Timeline
On the 9th of November Winnebago Industries is traded for 61.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.32, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Winnebago is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 61.42 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 164.9%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.52%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Winnebago Industries is about 2114.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 61.12. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.97 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 13 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 586.1 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Winnebago Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Winnebago Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Winnebago Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Winnebago Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how Winnebago Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Winnebago Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LCII | LCI Industries | 0.94 | 10 per month | 2.10 | (0.04) | 3.90 | (3.74) | 9.65 | |
| BC | Brunswick | 0.62 | 8 per month | 1.68 | 0 | 3.83 | (2.82) | 8.77 | |
| PII | Polaris Industries | (1.39) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.93 | (3.02) | 14.62 | |
| MPX | Marine Products | (0.10) | 4 per month | 1.62 | (0.04) | 3.79 | (2.83) | 9.43 | |
| MCFT | MCBC Holdings | 0.06 | 9 per month | 2.30 | 0.01 | 4.13 | (3.83) | 22.10 | |
| DOOO | BRP Inc | (0.30) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 2.43 | (4.08) | 13.51 | |
| MBUU | Malibu Boats | (0.82) | 10 per month | 1.99 | 0.08 | 4.07 | (3.49) | 10.40 | |
| THO | Thor Industries | 2.07 | 12 per month | 1.81 | (0.01) | 3.90 | (2.76) | 10.61 | |
| EZGO | EZGO Technologies | (0.02) | 2 per month | 4.97 | 0.03 | 13.28 | (7.27) | 31.43 |
Winnebago Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Winnebago price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Winnebago using various technical indicators. When you analyze Winnebago charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Winnebago Industries Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Winnebago Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Winnebago Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Winnebago Industries based on analysis of Winnebago Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Winnebago Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Winnebago Industries's related companies. | 2011 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0108 | 0.0211 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.55 | 0.59 |
Story Coverage note for Winnebago Industries
The number of cover stories for Winnebago Industries depends on current market conditions and Winnebago Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Winnebago Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Winnebago Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Winnebago Industries Short Properties
Winnebago Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when Winnebago Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Winnebago Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Winnebago Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Winnebago Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 330.9 M |
Check out Winnebago Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Winnebago Stock, please use our How to Invest in Winnebago Industries guide.You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Automobile Manufacturers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Winnebago Industries. If investors know Winnebago will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Winnebago Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.44) | Dividend Share 1.24 | Earnings Share 0.44 | Revenue Per Share 101.832 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of Winnebago Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Winnebago that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Winnebago Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Winnebago Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Winnebago Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Winnebago Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Winnebago Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Winnebago Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Winnebago Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.