Vipshop Holdings Limited Stock Price Prediction
| VIPS Stock | USD 13.24 0.24 1.78% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
41
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 5.3982 | EPS Estimate Current Year 16.1367 | EPS Estimate Next Year 17.0466 | Wall Street Target Price 114.9883 |
Using Vipshop Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vipshop Holdings Limited from the perspective of Vipshop Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vipshop Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vipshop because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Vipshop Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 13.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Vipshop |
Vipshop Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vipshop Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vipshop Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vipshop Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vipshop Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vipshop Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vipshop Holdings' historical news coverage. Vipshop Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.42 and 16.04, respectively. We have considered Vipshop Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vipshop Holdings is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vipshop Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vipshop Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vipshop Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vipshop Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vipshop Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 2.81 | 0.01 | 0.53 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.24 | 13.23 | 0.08 |
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Vipshop Holdings Hype Timeline
Vipshop Holdings is at this time traded for 13.24. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.53. Vipshop is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 13.23. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Vipshop Holdings is about 63.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.71. About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.31. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Vipshop Holdings last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2024. The entity had 10:1 split on the 4th of November 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Vipshop Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Vipshop Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vipshop Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vipshop Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Vipshop Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vipshop Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JD | JD Inc Adr | (2.08) | 8 per month | 3.12 | 0.09 | 6.76 | (6.99) | 23.41 | |
| BABA | Alibaba Group Holding | (1.61) | 9 per month | 2.49 | (0.03) | 4.82 | (4.27) | 16.74 | |
| SE | Sea | 0.18 | 9 per month | 1.45 | 0.16 | 4.65 | (2.83) | 12.95 | |
| JMIA | Jumia Technologies AG | (0.06) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.64 | (6.04) | 28.82 | |
| PDD | PDD Holdings | 1.11 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.85 | (6.40) | 28.51 | |
| MELI | MercadoLibre | (37.17) | 8 per month | 3.55 | (0.03) | 2.60 | (2.84) | 20.82 | |
| DADA | Dada Nexus | (0.05) | 8 per month | 5.41 | 0.05 | 13.13 | (9.83) | 38.16 | |
| FTCH | Farfetch Ltd Class | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.55 | 0.05 | 7.30 | (5.87) | 24.63 | |
| GLBE | Global E Online | (0.35) | 7 per month | 1.39 | 0.17 | 4.70 | (2.91) | 9.43 |
Vipshop Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vipshop price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vipshop using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vipshop charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Vipshop Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Vipshop Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vipshop Holdings Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vipshop Holdings based on analysis of Vipshop Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vipshop Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vipshop Holdings's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 6.96 | 5.38 | 5.02 | 3.42 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 26.67 | 24.69 | 25.34 | 24.07 |
Story Coverage note for Vipshop Holdings
The number of cover stories for Vipshop Holdings depends on current market conditions and Vipshop Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vipshop Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vipshop Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Vipshop Holdings Short Properties
Vipshop Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Vipshop Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vipshop Holdings Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vipshop Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vipshop Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 562.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 27.9 B |
Additional Tools for Vipshop Stock Analysis
When running Vipshop Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Vipshop Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vipshop Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Vipshop Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vipshop Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vipshop Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vipshop Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.