Virginia National Bankshares Stock Price Prediction
| VABK Stock | USD 41.79 0.75 1.83% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
65
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.27) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
Using Virginia National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Virginia National Bankshares from the perspective of Virginia National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Virginia National to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Virginia because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Virginia National after-hype prediction price | USD 41.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Virginia |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Virginia National's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Virginia National After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Virginia National at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Virginia National or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Virginia National, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Virginia National Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Virginia National's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Virginia National's historical news coverage. Virginia National's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.88 and 44.22, respectively. We have considered Virginia National's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Virginia National is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Virginia National is based on 3 months time horizon.
Virginia National Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Virginia National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Virginia National backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Virginia National, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.48 | 2.67 | 0.24 | 0.03 | 4 Events / Month | 14 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
41.79 | 41.55 | 0.57 |
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Virginia National Hype Timeline
Virginia National is at this time traded for 41.79. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.24, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Virginia is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 41.55. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.57%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.48%. The volatility of related hype on Virginia National is about 3668.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 41.82. About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.43. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Virginia National last dividend was issued on the 6th of September 2024. The entity had 105:100 split on the 2nd of April 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Virginia National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Virginia National Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Virginia National's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Virginia National's future price movements. Getting to know how Virginia National's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Virginia National may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Virginia National Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Virginia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Virginia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Virginia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Virginia National Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Virginia National stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Virginia National Bankshares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Virginia National based on analysis of Virginia National hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Virginia National's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Virginia National's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0362 | 0.0327 | 0.0384 | 0.0201 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.19 | 3.03 | 2.33 | 3.71 |
Story Coverage note for Virginia National
The number of cover stories for Virginia National depends on current market conditions and Virginia National's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Virginia National is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Virginia National's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Virginia National Short Properties
Virginia National's future price predictability will typically decrease when Virginia National's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Virginia National Bankshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Virginia National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Virginia National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -18.1 M |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Virginia Stock
When determining whether Virginia National is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Virginia Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Virginia National Bankshares Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Virginia National Bankshares Stock:Check out Virginia National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Virginia National. If investors know Virginia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Virginia National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.27) | Dividend Share 1.32 | Earnings Share 2.9 | Revenue Per Share 9.663 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
The market value of Virginia National is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Virginia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Virginia National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Virginia National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Virginia National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Virginia National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Virginia National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Virginia National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Virginia National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.