Americas Silver Corp Stock Price Prediction
| USAS Stock | USD 4.68 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.03 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.14) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.28 | Wall Street Target Price 4.9 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.02) |
Using Americas Silver hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Americas Silver Corp from the perspective of Americas Silver response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Americas Silver using Americas Silver's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Americas using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Americas Silver's stock price.
Americas Silver Short Interest
An investor who is long Americas Silver may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Americas Silver and may potentially protect profits, hedge Americas Silver with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 2.4052 | Short Percent 0.0131 | Short Ratio 1.09 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.8 M | 50 Day MA 3.9648 |
Americas Silver Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Americas Silver's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Americas. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Americas can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Americas Silver Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Americas Silver's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Americas Silver.
Americas Silver Implied Volatility | 1.73 |
Americas Silver's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Americas Silver Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Americas Silver's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Americas Silver stock will not fluctuate a lot when Americas Silver's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Americas Silver to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Americas because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Americas Silver after-hype prediction price | USD 4.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Americas contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Americas Silver Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.11% per day over the life of the 2026-02-20 option contract. With Americas Silver trading at USD 4.68, that is roughly USD 0.00506 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Americas Silver's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Americas Silver Corp options at the current volatility level of 1.73%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Americas Silver Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Americas Silver After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Americas Silver at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Americas Silver or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Americas Silver, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Americas Silver Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Americas Silver's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Americas Silver's historical news coverage. Americas Silver's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 9.39, respectively. We have considered Americas Silver's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Americas Silver is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Americas Silver Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Americas Silver Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Americas Silver is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Americas Silver backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Americas Silver, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.88 | 4.69 | 0.02 | 796.71 | 6 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.68 | 4.70 | 0.43 |
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Americas Silver Hype Timeline
Americas Silver Corp is at this time traded for 4.68. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 796.71. Americas is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.7 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is forecasted to be 0.43%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.88%. The volatility of related hype on Americas Silver is about 0.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 801.39. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 100.19 M. Net Loss for the year was (48.89 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.73 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Americas Silver Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Americas Silver Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Americas Silver's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Americas Silver's future price movements. Getting to know how Americas Silver's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Americas Silver may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SOBS | Solvay Bank Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.90 | (0.02) | 1.52 | (2.50) | 11.18 | |
| EVMNY | Evolution Mining Limited | (2.97) | 27 per month | 2.55 | 0.09 | 5.61 | (6.51) | 38.54 | |
| RTTGF | RTG Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1.10 | 0.00 | 9.09 | |
| IAFNF | iA Financial | 7,245 | 5 per month | 0.63 | 0.1 | 2.57 | (1.71) | 5.46 | |
| BHRB | Burke Herbert Financial | 0.94 | 7 per month | 1.37 | (0.01) | 3.16 | (2.29) | 7.93 | |
| AROW | Arrow Financial | (0.56) | 7 per month | 1.55 | (0) | 2.83 | (2.82) | 9.60 | |
| CNMVF | Canoe Mining Ventures | 0.45 | 11 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FINS | Angel Oak Financial | (0.04) | 7 per month | 0.46 | (0.07) | 0.92 | (0.69) | 2.23 |
Americas Silver Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Americas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Americas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Americas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Absolute Price Oscillator | ||
| Plus Directional Indicator | ||
| Stochastic | ||
| Momentum | ||
| Aroon | ||
| Ultimate Oscillator | ||
| MACD with controllable MA type | ||
| Rate of change ratio | ||
| Chande Momentum Oscillator | ||
| Balance Of Power |
About Americas Silver Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Americas Silver stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Americas Silver Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Americas Silver based on analysis of Americas Silver hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Americas Silver's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Americas Silver's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 49.6 | 38.66 | 25.98 | 24.68 | PTB Ratio | 2.59 | 2.03 | 3.73 | 4.6 |
Story Coverage note for Americas Silver
The number of cover stories for Americas Silver depends on current market conditions and Americas Silver's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Americas Silver is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Americas Silver's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Americas Silver Short Properties
Americas Silver's future price predictability will typically decrease when Americas Silver's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Americas Silver Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Americas Silver's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Americas Silver's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 106 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20 M |
Additional Tools for Americas Stock Analysis
When running Americas Silver's price analysis, check to measure Americas Silver's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Americas Silver is operating at the current time. Most of Americas Silver's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Americas Silver's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Americas Silver's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Americas Silver to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.