United Paragon (Philippines) Price Prediction

UPM Stock   0  0.0001  3.33%   
The value of RSI of United Paragon's stock price is about 60. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling United, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 60

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of United Paragon's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of United Paragon and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from United Paragon's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with United Paragon Mining, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using United Paragon hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of United Paragon Mining from the perspective of United Paragon response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in United Paragon to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying United because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

United Paragon after-hype prediction price

    
  PHP 0.003875  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out United Paragon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.0004.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00006304.56
Details

United Paragon After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of United Paragon at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in United Paragon or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of United Paragon, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

United Paragon Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting United Paragon's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on United Paragon's historical news coverage. United Paragon's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 4.56, respectively. We have considered United Paragon's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0
0
After-hype Price
4.56
Upside
United Paragon is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United Paragon Mining is based on 3 months time horizon.

United Paragon Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as United Paragon is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading United Paragon backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with United Paragon, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
4.56
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0
0
25.00 
0.00  
Notes

United Paragon Hype Timeline

United Paragon Mining is at this time traded for 0on Philippine Stock Exchange of Philippines. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. United is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.003875 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 25.0%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. The volatility of related hype on United Paragon is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. Debt can assist United Paragon until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, United Paragon's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like United Paragon Mining sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for United to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about United Paragon's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time.
Check out United Paragon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

United Paragon Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to United Paragon's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict United Paragon's future price movements. Getting to know how United Paragon's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how United Paragon may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NIKLNickel Asia Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 3.08 (2.50) 9.05 
APLApollo Global Capital 0.00 0 per month 2.82  0.05  5.88 (6.25) 27.61 
ABAtok Big Wedge 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 8.38 (7.95) 23.78 
PXPhilex Mining Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 5.11 (4.24) 16.34 
ATAtlas Consolidated Mining 0.00 0 per month 2.06 (0.07) 4.71 (3.29) 12.48 
LCBLepanto Consolidated Mining 0.00 0 per month 4.70  0.08  8.33 (7.69) 67.83 
LCLepanto Consolidated Mining 0.00 0 per month 4.83  0.07  9.09 (7.69) 66.09 
APXApex Mining Co 0.00 0 per month 3.24 (0.04) 7.08 (5.51) 16.83 
FNIGlobal Ferronickel Holdings 0.00 0 per month 3.92  0.04  5.38 (4.67) 62.75 
MABManila Mining Corp 0.00 0 per month 5.43 (0.02) 11.54 (10.45) 37.27 

United Paragon Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine United price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for United using various technical indicators. When you analyze United charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About United Paragon Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of United Paragon stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as United Paragon Mining, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of United Paragon based on analysis of United Paragon hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to United Paragon's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to United Paragon's related companies.

Story Coverage note for United Paragon

The number of cover stories for United Paragon depends on current market conditions and United Paragon's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that United Paragon is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about United Paragon's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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United Paragon Short Properties

United Paragon's future price predictability will typically decrease when United Paragon's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of United Paragon Mining often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential United Paragon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Paragon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding261.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments888.1 K

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