Union Pacific Stock Price Prediction

UNP Stock  USD 236.38  2.67  1.14%   
As of today, The value of relative strength index of Union Pacific's share price is at 56. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Union Pacific, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

56

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Union Pacific's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Union Pacific, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Union Pacific's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.096
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.88
EPS Estimate Current Year
10.9535
EPS Estimate Next Year
12.081
Wall Street Target Price
257.3647
Using Union Pacific hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Union Pacific from the perspective of Union Pacific response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Union Pacific Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Union Pacific's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Union. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Union can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Union Pacific. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Union Pacific's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Union Pacific.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Union Pacific to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Union because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Union Pacific after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 236.3  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Union Pacific Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Union Stock, please use our How to Invest in Union Pacific guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
212.74239.19240.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
228.48229.95231.42
Details
30 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
219.38241.08267.60
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.732.762.76
Details

Union Pacific After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Union Pacific at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Union Pacific or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Union Pacific, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Union Pacific Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Union Pacific's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Union Pacific's historical news coverage. Union Pacific's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 234.83 and 237.77, respectively. We have considered Union Pacific's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
236.38
234.83
Downside
236.30
After-hype Price
237.77
Upside
Union Pacific is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Union Pacific is based on 3 months time horizon.

Union Pacific Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Union Pacific is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Union Pacific backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Union Pacific, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.10 
1.47
  0.08 
  0.22 
10 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
236.38
236.30
0.03 
181.48  
Notes

Union Pacific Hype Timeline

On the 13th of December 2024 Union Pacific is traded for 236.38. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.22. Union is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 236.3. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 181.48%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Union Pacific is about 66.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 236.16. About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.45. Union Pacific recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.87. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of December 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 9th of June 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Union Pacific Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Union Stock, please use our How to Invest in Union Pacific guide.

Union Pacific Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Union Pacific's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Union Pacific's future price movements. Getting to know how Union Pacific's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Union Pacific may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Union Pacific Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Union price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Union using various technical indicators. When you analyze Union charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Union Pacific Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Union Pacific stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Union Pacific, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Union Pacific based on analysis of Union Pacific hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Union Pacific's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Union Pacific's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0170.02450.02120.0256
Price To Sales Ratio7.555.186.26.51

Story Coverage note for Union Pacific

The number of cover stories for Union Pacific depends on current market conditions and Union Pacific's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Union Pacific is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Union Pacific's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Union Pacific Short Properties

Union Pacific's future price predictability will typically decrease when Union Pacific's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Union Pacific often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Union Pacific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Union Pacific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding610.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.1 B

Additional Tools for Union Stock Analysis

When running Union Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Union Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Union Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Union Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Union Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Union Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Union Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.