Technology Munications Portfolio Fund Price Prediction
| STPCX Fund | USD 12.67 0.06 0.48% |
Momentum 69
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Technology Munications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Technology Munications Portfolio from the perspective of Technology Munications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Technology Munications to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Technology because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Technology Munications after-hype prediction price | USD 12.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Technology |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Technology Munications' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Technology Munications After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Technology Munications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Technology Munications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Technology Munications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Technology Munications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Technology Munications' mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Technology Munications' historical news coverage. Technology Munications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.65 and 13.67, respectively. We have considered Technology Munications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Technology Munications is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Technology Munications is based on 3 months time horizon.
Technology Munications Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Technology Munications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Technology Munications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Technology Munications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.41 | 1.01 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.67 | 12.66 | 0.40 |
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Technology Munications Hype Timeline
Technology Munications is at this time traded for 12.67. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Technology is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 12.66 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.4%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.41%. The volatility of related hype on Technology Munications is about 70700.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.67. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Technology Munications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Technology Munications Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Technology Munications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Technology Munications' future price movements. Getting to know how Technology Munications' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Technology Munications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ELMXX | Elfun Government Money | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (1.01) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.01 | |
| SSAGX | Virtus Seix Government | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (1.12) | 0.10 | (0.10) | 0.61 | |
| PBMXX | Prudential Government Money | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (1.01) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.01 | |
| RFBAX | Davis Government Bond | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.91) | 0.20 | (0.20) | 0.78 | |
| DPIGX | Intermediate Government Bond | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (1.07) | 0.11 | (0.21) | 0.63 | |
| PYUSX | Payden Government Fund | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.07 | (0.71) | 0.32 | (0.21) | 0.75 | |
| FKFSX | Franklin Government Securities | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.26 | (0.39) | 0.60 | (0.60) | 1.41 |
Technology Munications Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Technology price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Technology using various technical indicators. When you analyze Technology charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Technology Munications Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Technology Munications stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Technology Munications Portfolio, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Technology Munications based on analysis of Technology Munications hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Technology Munications's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Technology Munications's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Technology Munications
The number of cover stories for Technology Munications depends on current market conditions and Technology Munications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Technology Munications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Technology Munications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Technology Mutual Fund
Technology Munications financial ratios help investors to determine whether Technology Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Technology with respect to the benefits of owning Technology Munications security.
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