Skywest Stock Price Prediction
| SKYW Stock | USD 80.23 4.29 5.08% |
Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.56 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.855 | EPS Estimate Current Year 9.2035 | EPS Estimate Next Year 10.2862 | Wall Street Target Price 127.8 |
Using SkyWest hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SkyWest from the perspective of SkyWest response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards SkyWest using SkyWest's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards SkyWest using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of SkyWest's stock price.
SkyWest Short Interest
An investor who is long SkyWest may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about SkyWest and may potentially protect profits, hedge SkyWest with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 93.4192 | Short Percent 0.0649 | Short Ratio 3.49 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.7 M | 50 Day MA 98.9926 |
SkyWest Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to SkyWest's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in SkyWest. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding SkyWest can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around SkyWest. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of SkyWest's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about SkyWest.
SkyWest Implied Volatility | 0.75 |
SkyWest's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of SkyWest stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if SkyWest's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that SkyWest stock will not fluctuate a lot when SkyWest's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SkyWest to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SkyWest because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
SkyWest after-hype prediction price | USD 81.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current SkyWest contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that SkyWest will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0469% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With SkyWest trading at USD 80.23, that is roughly USD 0.0376 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating SkyWest's daily price movement you should consider acquiring SkyWest options at the current volatility level of 0.75%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
SkyWest |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SkyWest's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SkyWest After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SkyWest at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SkyWest or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SkyWest, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SkyWest Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SkyWest's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SkyWest's historical news coverage. SkyWest's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 78.42 and 83.92, respectively. We have considered SkyWest's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SkyWest is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SkyWest is based on 3 months time horizon.
SkyWest Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SkyWest is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SkyWest backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SkyWest, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.43 | 2.75 | 0.40 | 0.02 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
80.23 | 81.17 | 1.17 |
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SkyWest Hype Timeline
SkyWest is at this time traded for 80.23. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.4, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. SkyWest is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 81.17 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 1.17%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.43%. The volatility of related hype on SkyWest is about 6111.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 80.21. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.53 B. Net Income was 322.96 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.17 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out SkyWest Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.SkyWest Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SkyWest's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SkyWest's future price movements. Getting to know how SkyWest's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SkyWest may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CPA | Copa Holdings SA | (2.15) | 9 per month | 1.48 | 0.15 | 3.84 | (2.47) | 7.43 | |
| SNCY | Sun Country Airlines | (0.12) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.02 | (6.01) | 15.02 | |
| ATSG | Air Transport Services | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | 1.38 | 0.36 | (0.13) | 0.68 | |
| ULCC | Frontier Group Holdings | 0.12 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 5.27 | (8.95) | 27.49 | |
| ALGT | Allegiant Travel | 2.54 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 4.83 | (8.31) | 21.20 | |
| BABWF | International Consolidated Airlines | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 5.48 | (5.97) | 20.10 | |
| SAVE | Spirit Airlines | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| JBLU | JetBlue Airways Corp | (0.17) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.44 | (8.21) | 29.90 | |
| HA | Hawaiian Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GOL | Gol Linhas Aereas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AZUL | Azul SA | 0.07 | 11 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 8.80 | (6.10) | 19.92 | |
| ALK | Alaska Air Group | (0.82) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.40 | (6.58) | 14.58 |
SkyWest Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SkyWest price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SkyWest using various technical indicators. When you analyze SkyWest charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About SkyWest Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of SkyWest stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SkyWest, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SkyWest based on analysis of SkyWest hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SkyWest's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SkyWest's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.005809 | 0.005823 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.14 | 0.84 |
Story Coverage note for SkyWest
The number of cover stories for SkyWest depends on current market conditions and SkyWest's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SkyWest is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SkyWest's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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SkyWest Short Properties
SkyWest's future price predictability will typically decrease when SkyWest's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SkyWest often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SkyWest's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SkyWest's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 801.6 M |
Additional Tools for SkyWest Stock Analysis
When running SkyWest's price analysis, check to measure SkyWest's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SkyWest is operating at the current time. Most of SkyWest's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SkyWest's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SkyWest's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SkyWest to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.