Jetblue Airways Corp Stock Price Prediction
| JBLU Stock | USD 8.05 0.64 8.64% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
71
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.83) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.27) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.94) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.47) | Wall Street Target Price 6.25 |
Using JetBlue Airways hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JetBlue Airways Corp from the perspective of JetBlue Airways response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
JetBlue Airways Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to JetBlue Airways' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in JetBlue. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding JetBlue can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around JetBlue Airways Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of JetBlue Airways' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about JetBlue Airways.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in JetBlue Airways to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying JetBlue because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
JetBlue Airways after-hype prediction price | USD 7.94 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
JetBlue |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of JetBlue Airways' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
JetBlue Airways After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of JetBlue Airways at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in JetBlue Airways or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of JetBlue Airways, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
JetBlue Airways Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting JetBlue Airways' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on JetBlue Airways' historical news coverage. JetBlue Airways' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.19 and 12.69, respectively. We have considered JetBlue Airways' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
JetBlue Airways is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of JetBlue Airways Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
JetBlue Airways Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as JetBlue Airways is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JetBlue Airways backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with JetBlue Airways, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.55 | 4.75 | 0.11 | 0.40 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.05 | 7.94 | 1.37 |
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JetBlue Airways Hype Timeline
JetBlue Airways Corp is currently traded for 8.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.4. JetBlue is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 7.94. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.37%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.55%. The volatility of related hype on JetBlue Airways is about 658.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.45. About 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.95. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. JetBlue Airways Corp recorded a loss per share of 2.79. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 3:2 split on the 27th of December 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out JetBlue Airways Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.JetBlue Airways Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to JetBlue Airways' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict JetBlue Airways' future price movements. Getting to know how JetBlue Airways' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how JetBlue Airways may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ULCC | Frontier Group Holdings | (0.04) | 11 per month | 3.16 | 0.21 | 9.54 | (5.08) | 19.36 | |
| LUV | Southwest Airlines | 0.58 | 9 per month | 1.84 | 0.06 | 4.56 | (3.36) | 10.90 | |
| UAL | United Airlines Holdings | 1.95 | 9 per month | 1.98 | 0.21 | 6.24 | (4.56) | 10.62 | |
| AAL | American Airlines Group | 0.03 | 7 per month | 1.76 | 0.1 | 6.38 | (3.02) | 10.21 | |
| DAL | Delta Air Lines | 1.83 | 7 per month | 1.66 | 0.12 | 3.91 | (3.52) | 9.39 | |
| SAVE | Spirit Airlines | (0.02) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 5.43 | (6.75) | 31.05 |
JetBlue Airways Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine JetBlue price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JetBlue using various technical indicators. When you analyze JetBlue charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About JetBlue Airways Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of JetBlue Airways stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as JetBlue Airways Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of JetBlue Airways based on analysis of JetBlue Airways hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to JetBlue Airways's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to JetBlue Airways's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 11.4 | 14.45 | 12.22 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 4.75 | 4.13 | 5.08 |
Story Coverage note for JetBlue Airways
The number of cover stories for JetBlue Airways depends on current market conditions and JetBlue Airways' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that JetBlue Airways is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about JetBlue Airways' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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JetBlue Airways Short Properties
JetBlue Airways' future price predictability will typically decrease when JetBlue Airways' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of JetBlue Airways Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential JetBlue Airways' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JetBlue Airways' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 332.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
Additional Tools for JetBlue Stock Analysis
When running JetBlue Airways' price analysis, check to measure JetBlue Airways' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JetBlue Airways is operating at the current time. Most of JetBlue Airways' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JetBlue Airways' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JetBlue Airways' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JetBlue Airways to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.