Rf Industries Stock Price Prediction

RFIL Stock  USD 8.51  0.96  12.72%   
As of now The relative strength index (RSI) of RF Industries' share price is above 80 indicating that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 83

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of RF Industries' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of RF Industries and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from RF Industries' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with RF Industries, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting RF Industries' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.134
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.24
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.25
Wall Street Target Price
6.25
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.04
Using RF Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RF Industries from the perspective of RF Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards RF Industries using RF Industries' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards RFIL using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of RF Industries' stock price.

RF Industries Short Interest

An investor who is long RF Industries may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about RF Industries and may potentially protect profits, hedge RF Industries with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
4.5051
Short Percent
0.0004
Short Ratio
0.11
Shares Short Prior Month
3.6 K
50 Day MA
5.281

RF Industries Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to RF Industries' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in RFIL. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding RFIL can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around RF Industries. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of RF Industries' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about RF Industries.

RF Industries Implied Volatility

    
  1.05  
RF Industries' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of RF Industries stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if RF Industries' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that RF Industries stock will not fluctuate a lot when RF Industries' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in RF Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying RFIL because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

RF Industries after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 8.86  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out RF Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy RFIL Stock please use our How to buy in RFIL Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.876.5611.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.927.6112.30
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.466.006.66
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.060.060.06
Details

RF Industries After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of RF Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in RF Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of RF Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

RF Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting RF Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on RF Industries' historical news coverage. RF Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.17 and 13.55, respectively. We have considered RF Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.51
8.86
After-hype Price
13.55
Upside
RF Industries is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of RF Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.

RF Industries Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as RF Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading RF Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with RF Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.36 
4.31
  0.39 
  0.41 
9 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.51
8.86
4.11 
1,486  
Notes

RF Industries Hype Timeline

RF Industries is at this time traded for 8.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.39, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.41. RFIL is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 8.86 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 4.11%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.36%. The volatility of related hype on RF Industries is about 1415.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.92. RF Industries currently holds about 5.09 M in cash with 3.17 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.5. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out RF Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy RFIL Stock please use our How to buy in RFIL Stock guide.

RF Industries Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to RF Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict RF Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how RF Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how RF Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FLUXFlux Power Holdings(0.07)7 per month 4.32  0.07  9.15 (7.69) 33.82 
EAFGrafTech International(0.03)8 per month 5.11  0.17  14.85 (9.59) 43.53 
AEISAdvanced Energy Industries 4.06 10 per month 0.80  0.27  3.86 (2.01) 14.25 
PPSIPioneer Power Solutions(0.04)8 per month 2.52  0.12  7.66 (4.81) 15.61 
ABBNYABB 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NSYSNortech Systems Incorporated(0.73)9 per month 3.50  0.01  5.38 (5.61) 23.21 
RELLRichardson Electronics(0.41)10 per month 2.01  0.03  3.89 (3.43) 10.26 
SMITSchmitt Industries 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ALOTAstroNova(0.04)9 per month 1.78  0.10  4.33 (3.55) 28.83 

RF Industries Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine RFIL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RFIL using various technical indicators. When you analyze RFIL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About RF Industries Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of RF Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as RF Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of RF Industries based on analysis of RF Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to RF Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to RF Industries's related companies.
 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01080.0102
Price To Sales Ratio0.771.29

Story Coverage note for RF Industries

The number of cover stories for RF Industries depends on current market conditions and RF Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that RF Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about RF Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

RF Industries Short Properties

RF Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when RF Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of RF Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential RF Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RF Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments839 K
When determining whether RF Industries is a strong investment it is important to analyze RF Industries' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact RF Industries' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding RFIL Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out RF Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy RFIL Stock please use our How to buy in RFIL Stock guide.
You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of RF Industries. If investors know RFIL will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about RF Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.134
Earnings Share
(0.14)
Revenue Per Share
6.949
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.174
Return On Assets
0.0003
The market value of RF Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of RFIL that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of RF Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is RF Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because RF Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect RF Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between RF Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if RF Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, RF Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.