Penns Woods Bancorp Stock Price Prediction

PWOD Stock  USD 31.57  1.39  4.61%   
At the present time The relative strength index (RSI) of Penns Woods' share price is above 80 indicating that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

80

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Penns Woods' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Penns Woods and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Penns Woods' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Penns Woods Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Penns Woods' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.053
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.21
Using Penns Woods hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Penns Woods Bancorp from the perspective of Penns Woods response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Penns Woods to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Penns because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Penns Woods after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 31.62  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Penns Woods Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.4135.5437.62
Details

Penns Woods After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Penns Woods at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Penns Woods or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Penns Woods, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Penns Woods Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Penns Woods' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Penns Woods' historical news coverage. Penns Woods' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.54 and 33.70, respectively. We have considered Penns Woods' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
31.57
31.62
After-hype Price
33.70
Upside
Penns Woods is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Penns Woods Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Penns Woods Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Penns Woods is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Penns Woods backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Penns Woods, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.47 
2.08
  0.05 
  0.11 
6 Events / Month
12 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
31.57
31.62
0.16 
2,080  
Notes

Penns Woods Hype Timeline

Penns Woods Bancorp is at this time traded for 31.57. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. Penns is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 31.62 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.47%. The volatility of related hype on Penns Woods is about 855.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.46. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 63.34 M. Net Income was 16.61 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 64.58 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Penns Woods Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Penns Woods Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Penns Woods' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Penns Woods' future price movements. Getting to know how Penns Woods' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Penns Woods may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LBCLuther Burbank(0.15)1 per month 2.16  0.04  5.04 (3.88) 10.73 
SRCE1st Source(2.78)6 per month 0.00 (0.02) 2.87 (3.50) 16.81 
GSBCGreat Southern Bancorp 0.66 9 per month 2.08 (0) 3.30 (3.40) 19.09 
WSBFWaterstone Financial(0.18)8 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.02 (3.44) 15.80 
FCCOFirst Community(0.03)9 per month 1.56  0.04  2.69 (2.28) 14.28 
OVLYOak Valley Bancorp(0.64)4 per month 2.13 (0) 3.75 (2.48) 14.90 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest(0.35)5 per month 0.00 (0.15) 1.36 (1.33) 4.32 
ESSAESSA Bancorp(0.34)8 per month 2.74 (0) 3.38 (3.91) 12.57 
FSBWFS Bancorp(0.80)7 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.70 (3.22) 16.14 
OPOFOld Point Financial(0.04)3 per month 1.25  0.28  3.54 (1.47) 11.54 
CHMGChemung Financial Corp(0.36)9 per month 1.12  0.02  2.06 (2.03) 11.96 
HBCPHome Bancorp(0.38)9 per month 1.95  0.02  3.35 (3.12) 14.40 
NWFLNorwood Financial Corp 0.53 8 per month 0.00 (0.01) 3.29 (3.52) 22.23 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp 0.39 5 per month 2.51  0.01  4.70 (4.49) 17.43 
RBKBRhinebeck Bancorp(0.05)5 per month 0.86  0.13  4.15 (1.79) 9.98 
FNWDFinward Bancorp 0.63 6 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.10 (1.90) 6.41 

Penns Woods Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Penns price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Penns using various technical indicators. When you analyze Penns charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Penns Woods Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Penns Woods stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Penns Woods Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Penns Woods based on analysis of Penns Woods hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Penns Woods's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Penns Woods's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.05410.04810.05720.0329
Price To Sales Ratio2.722.832.532.4

Story Coverage note for Penns Woods

The number of cover stories for Penns Woods depends on current market conditions and Penns Woods' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Penns Woods is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Penns Woods' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Penns Woods Short Properties

Penns Woods' future price predictability will typically decrease when Penns Woods' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Penns Woods Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Penns Woods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Penns Woods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments37.5 M

Complementary Tools for Penns Stock analysis

When running Penns Woods' price analysis, check to measure Penns Woods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Penns Woods is operating at the current time. Most of Penns Woods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Penns Woods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Penns Woods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Penns Woods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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