Pepgen Stock Price Prediction
| PEPG Stock | USD 1.46 0.06 4.29% |
Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.74) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.94) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.48) | Wall Street Target Price 8 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.75) |
Using PepGen hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PepGen from the perspective of PepGen response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards PepGen using PepGen's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards PepGen using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of PepGen's stock price.
PepGen Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in PepGen's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards PepGen. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of PepGen stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 3.0614 | Short Percent 0.0772 | Short Ratio 5.04 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.8 M | 50 Day MA 1.389 |
PepGen Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to PepGen's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PepGen. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PepGen can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PepGen. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PepGen's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PepGen.
PepGen Implied Volatility | 2.73 |
PepGen's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of PepGen stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if PepGen's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that PepGen stock will not fluctuate a lot when PepGen's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PepGen to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying PepGen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
PepGen after-hype prediction price | USD 1.46 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out PepGen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. PepGen After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PepGen at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PepGen or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PepGen, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PepGen Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PepGen's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PepGen's historical news coverage. PepGen's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 7.42, respectively. We have considered PepGen's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PepGen is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PepGen is based on 3 months time horizon.
PepGen Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PepGen is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PepGen backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PepGen, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 5.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.46 | 1.46 | 0.00 |
|
PepGen Hype Timeline
PepGen is at this time traded for 1.46. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. PepGen is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on PepGen is about 3184.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.46. About 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.52. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. PepGen recorded a loss per share of 3.14. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out PepGen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.PepGen Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PepGen's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PepGen's future price movements. Getting to know how PepGen's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PepGen may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MOLN | Molecular Partners AG | (0.27) | 5 per month | 3.68 | (0.02) | 6.74 | (7.01) | 20.40 | |
| PMVP | Pmv Pharmaceuticals | 0.05 | 6 per month | 2.48 | 0.07 | 8.41 | (5.22) | 18.30 | |
| GLUE | Monte Rosa Therapeutics | 0.1 | 8 per month | 3.64 | 0.05 | 7.85 | (6.84) | 21.39 | |
| TRDA | Entrada Therapeutics | (0.48) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.73 | (6.67) | 20.26 | |
| VIGL | Vigil Neuroscience | (0.02) | 10 per month | 1.58 | 0.13 | 7.42 | (2.49) | 241.38 | |
| HLVX | Hillevax | 0.01 | 5 per month | 1.80 | 0.07 | 3.83 | (3.29) | 13.17 | |
| ABOS | Acumen Pharmaceuticals | 0.99 | 8 per month | 3.88 | 0.11 | 7.69 | (7.09) | 24.23 | |
| ANTX | AN2 Therapeutics | 0.01 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.22 | (4.17) | 20.22 | |
| TYRA | Tyra Biosciences | (2.08) | 2 per month | 3.46 | 0.02 | 6.32 | (6.16) | 17.72 |
PepGen Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PepGen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PepGen using various technical indicators. When you analyze PepGen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About PepGen Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of PepGen stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PepGen, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PepGen based on analysis of PepGen hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PepGen's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PepGen's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | PB Ratio | 1.16 | 1.49 | 1.01 | 0.96 | Capex To Depreciation | 7.62 | 2.2 | 0.0946 | 0.0899 |
Story Coverage note for PepGen
The number of cover stories for PepGen depends on current market conditions and PepGen's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PepGen is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PepGen's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
PepGen Short Properties
PepGen's future price predictability will typically decrease when PepGen's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PepGen often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PepGen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PepGen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 120.2 M |
Complementary Tools for PepGen Stock analysis
When running PepGen's price analysis, check to measure PepGen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PepGen is operating at the current time. Most of PepGen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PepGen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PepGen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PepGen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm | |
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk | |
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
| Fundamental Analysis View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements | |
| Content Syndication Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal |