Option Care Health Stock Price Prediction
| OPCH Stock | USD 23.80 0.04 0.17% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
28
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.35 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.3373 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.3012 | Wall Street Target Price 30.875 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.31 |
Using Option Care hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Option Care Health from the perspective of Option Care response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Option Care to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Option because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Option Care after-hype prediction price | USD 23.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Option |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Option Care's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Option Care After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Option Care at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Option Care or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Option Care, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Option Care Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Option Care's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Option Care's historical news coverage. Option Care's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.91 and 26.89, respectively. We have considered Option Care's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Option Care is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Option Care Health is based on 3 months time horizon.
Option Care Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Option Care is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Option Care backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Option Care, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.41 | 3.46 | 0.40 | 0.20 | 8 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
23.80 | 23.40 | 1.72 |
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Option Care Hype Timeline
Option Care Health is now traded for 23.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.4, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.2. Option is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 23.4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.72%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.41%. The volatility of related hype on Option Care is about 697.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.60. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Option Care was now reported as 8.38. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.12. Option Care Health last dividend was issued on the 3rd of February 2020. The entity had 1:4 split on the 3rd of February 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Option Care Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Option Care Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Option Care's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Option Care's future price movements. Getting to know how Option Care's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Option Care may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ADUS | Addus HomeCare | 3.64 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.50 | (2.51) | 7.74 | |
| ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | (0.19) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 3.36 | (5.78) | 21.88 | |
| EHC | Encompass Health Corp | 1.23 | 11 per month | 0.84 | 0.05 | 1.74 | (1.86) | 9.75 | |
| SEM | Select Medical Holdings | (0.56) | 10 per month | 1.92 | 0 | 2.91 | (2.51) | 14.62 | |
| ENSG | The Ensign Group | (13.99) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.32 | (2.11) | 10.08 | |
| UHS | Universal Health Services | 3.20 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.40 | (4.07) | 14.88 | |
| SGRY | Surgery Partners | 1.50 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 3.72 | (4.88) | 17.97 | |
| AMED | Amedisys | 0.77 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 0.61 | (0.93) | 5.99 | |
| EHAB | Enhabit | 0.21 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.22 | (4.56) | 11.79 | |
| PNTG | Pennant Group | (0.65) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.12 | (3.97) | 12.42 | |
| INNV | InnovAge Holding Corp | 0.09 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.23 | (4.81) | 11.60 | |
| NHC | National HealthCare | (1.20) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.12 | (3.57) | 11.56 |
Option Care Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Option price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Option using various technical indicators. When you analyze Option charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Option Care Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Option Care stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Option Care Health, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Option Care based on analysis of Option Care hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Option Care's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Option Care's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 7.72E-4 | 6.86E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.4 | 1.47 |
Story Coverage note for Option Care
The number of cover stories for Option Care depends on current market conditions and Option Care's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Option Care is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Option Care's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Option Care Short Properties
Option Care's future price predictability will typically decrease when Option Care's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Option Care Health often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Option Care's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Option Care's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 180.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 343.8 M |
Complementary Tools for Option Stock analysis
When running Option Care's price analysis, check to measure Option Care's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Option Care is operating at the current time. Most of Option Care's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Option Care's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Option Care's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Option Care to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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