Outset Medical Stock Price Prediction
| OM Stock | USD 0.86 0.04 4.44% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.37) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.85) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.34) | Wall Street Target Price 3.2917 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.42) |
Using Outset Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Outset Medical from the perspective of Outset Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Outset Medical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Outset because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Outset Medical after-hype prediction price | USD 0.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Outset |
Outset Medical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Outset Medical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Outset Medical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Outset Medical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Outset Medical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Outset Medical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Outset Medical's historical news coverage. Outset Medical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 8.19, respectively. We have considered Outset Medical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Outset Medical is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Outset Medical is based on 3 months time horizon.
Outset Medical Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Outset Medical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Outset Medical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Outset Medical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.77 | 7.32 | 0.01 | 0.51 | 10 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.86 | 0.87 | 1.16 |
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Outset Medical Hype Timeline
As of November 15, 2024 Outset Medical is listed for 0.86. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.51. Outset is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.87 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 1.16%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.77%. The volatility of related hype on Outset Medical is about 1104.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.37. The company generated the yearly revenue of 130.38 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (172.8 M) with gross profit of 17.83 M. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Outset Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Outset Medical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Outset Medical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Outset Medical's future price movements. Getting to know how Outset Medical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Outset Medical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SWAV | Shockwave Medical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.04 | (0.03) | 3.76 | (3.16) | 16.22 | |
| NARI | Inari Medical | (2.48) | 7 per month | 2.30 | (0.01) | 6.30 | (4.23) | 19.78 | |
| CLPT | Clearpoint Neuro | (0.34) | 10 per month | 3.48 | 0.04 | 7.59 | (4.61) | 24.80 | |
| INSP | Inspire Medical Systems | 7.96 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.84 | (5.08) | 16.85 | |
| NVRO | Nevro Corp | 0.41 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 8.28 | (7.61) | 25.58 | |
| SIBN | Si Bone | (0.15) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.75 | (4.54) | 27.00 | |
| SGHT | Sight Sciences | 0.16 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 6.96 | (7.84) | 18.22 | |
| KIDS | Orthopediatrics Corp | 1.51 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.44 | (5.08) | 21.53 | |
| OFIX | Orthofix Medical | 0.12 | 7 per month | 2.01 | 0.03 | 4.28 | (3.85) | 10.38 | |
| NPCE | Neuropace | (0.07) | 9 per month | 3.02 | 0.10 | 9.73 | (5.65) | 19.91 | |
| CVRX | CVRx Inc | 0.09 | 9 per month | 3.61 | 0.15 | 12.31 | (8.22) | 41.08 | |
| NUVA | NuVasive | 0.46 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.31 | (2.75) | 7.19 | |
| CNMD | CONMED | 1.63 | 9 per month | 2.20 | (0.01) | 4.57 | (3.83) | 10.64 | |
| LUNG | Pulmonx Corp | (0.02) | 8 per month | 4.16 | 0.03 | 9.00 | (6.89) | 20.52 |
Outset Medical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Outset price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Outset using various technical indicators. When you analyze Outset charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Outset Medical Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Outset Medical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Outset Medical, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Outset Medical based on analysis of Outset Medical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Outset Medical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Outset Medical's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 53.88 | 161.76 | 17.4 | 33.98 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 150.56 | 192.62 | 177.2 | 108.5 |
Story Coverage note for Outset Medical
The number of cover stories for Outset Medical depends on current market conditions and Outset Medical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Outset Medical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Outset Medical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Outset Medical Short Properties
Outset Medical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Outset Medical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Outset Medical often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Outset Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Outset Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 203.3 M |
Check out Outset Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Outset Stock, please use our How to Invest in Outset Medical guide.You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Outset Medical. If investors know Outset will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Outset Medical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (2.62) | Revenue Per Share 2.235 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets (0.27) | Return On Equity (1.41) |
The market value of Outset Medical is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Outset that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Outset Medical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Outset Medical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Outset Medical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Outset Medical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Outset Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Outset Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Outset Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.