Unum (NYSE:UNM) is currently showing a low Beta of 0.36 and a negative Period Momentum Indicator of -0.08, suggesting the stock may continue its recent sideways movement rather than a strong upward or downward trend. With the Last Price at
73.42 and a Day Typical Price of
73.3, traders should watch for a break below the 52 Week Low of
62.54 as a potential signal for further declines in December.
Major Takeaways
Unum Group currently holds an average rating of "Buy" from 12 analysts. Do these analysts rely on technical analysis? Typically, technical analysis examines price momentum, chart patterns, and historical trends to gauge market sentiment and investor perception of future value.
Looking at Unum’s technical picture, the company’s net profit margin stands at just 0.12%, a surprisingly slim figure that suggests even minor revenue dips could wipe out profits and lead to losses. This margin is notably below industry averages. Similarly, the net operating margin is only 0.14%, meaning that for every $100 in revenue, Unum generates just 14 cents in operating income. These figures highlight the company’s tight profit margins and potential vulnerability, which investors should keep in mind alongside the broader analyst consensus.
Using predictive
technical analysis, we can analyze different prices and returns patterns and
diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Unum Group. In general, sophisticated investors focus on analyzing Unum stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. They apply predictive analytics to build Unum's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as
momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional
technical analysis and
fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of
Unum's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Unum, many experienced traders also check how macroeconomic factors affect Unum price patterns. Please read more on our
technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
How does Unum Stands against Peers?
Analyzing Unum competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to Unum across multiple sectors and
thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be. Check out
Unum Competition DetailsUnum Gross Profit
Unum Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Unum previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Unum Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Unum's
gross profit and other
fundamental indicators for more details.
Closer look at Unum Standard Deviation
Unum Group has current Standard Deviation of 1.25. The Standard Deviation is a measure of how spread out the prices or returns of an asset are on average. It is the most widely used risk indicator in the field of investing and finance. Standard Deviation is commonly used to measure confidence in statistical conclusions regarding certain equity instruments or portfolios of equities.
Standard deviation is applied to the annual rate of return of an investment to measure the investment's volatility.
Standard deviation is also known as historical volatility and is used by investors as a gauge for the amount of expected market volatility. A large standard deviation usually indicates that the data points are far from the mean and a small standard deviation indicates that they are clustered closely around the mean.
Standard Deviation | = | SQRT(V) |
| = | 1.25 |
Let's now compare Unum Standard Deviation to its closest peers:
| UNM | 1.2502624560681868 |
| MET | 1.37 |
| GL | 1.15 |
| AEG | 1.41 |
| RGA | 1.57 |
As Warren Buffett once said, price is what you pay, value is what you get. Unum Group (NYSE:UNM) is currently trading below its 200-day moving average of 77.09, with a typical price of 73.30 suggesting some short-term weakness. The stock’s beta of 0.36 indicates it’s relatively less volatile compared to the broader market, but its current valuation at 15.94 billion reflects a PE ratio of 8.80, signaling potential undervaluation. Despite solid operating income of 2.5 billion and a net income of 1.8 billion, the stock faces downside risks, especially with a probability of bankruptcy at 32.48%. Investors should keep an eye on the 52-week low of 62.54 and the Wall Street target price of 93.36 as key levels to watch for potential reversals or further declines in December..
Unum is likely finish below $75 in 30 days
Unum Group's stock has shown steady behavior recently, with a mean deviation of just 0.9, indicating low volatility and a narrow trading range. Given this stability and current market conditions, it’s unlikely the stock will rise above $75 in the next month. While keeping an eye on broader trends and company news is wise, the consensus points toward the stock staying below that level as it consolidates.
The stock’s skewness of -0.22 and kurtosis of 1.45 suggest a relatively mild risk profile.
Understanding these volatility patterns can help investors gauge potential price swings, especially during market downturns. In bearish periods, increased volatility can lead to sharper declines, prompting portfolio adjustments as investors seek to manage risk and protect their holdings.While Unum Group has recently experienced a decline, current valuations suggest there’s potential for a rebound, especially considering the analyst consensus remains a strong buy with a target price around
93.36. The stock’s valuation market value sits at approximately
73.42, with a possible downside near
72.93 and an upside target of about
75.33. For investors willing to weather short-term fluctuations, the current dip could present an entry point before the stock moves toward its estimated fair value, supported by multiple buy ratings and four strong buy recommendations..
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Aina Ster is a Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board. Aina delivers weekly perspective on ongoing market and economic trends, analysis and tips from predictive analysis to forecasting across various financial instruments.
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