Nine Energy Service Stock Price Prediction
NINE Stock | USD 1.00 0.18 21.95% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
41
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.45) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.30) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.80) | Wall Street Target Price 1 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.37) |
Using Nine Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nine Energy Service from the perspective of Nine Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nine Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nine because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Nine Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 0.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Nine |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nine Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nine Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nine Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nine Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nine Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Nine Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nine Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nine Energy's historical news coverage. Nine Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 5.15, respectively. We have considered Nine Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nine Energy is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nine Energy Service is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nine Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nine Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nine Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nine Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.79 | 5.19 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 10 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.00 | 0.81 | 1.22 |
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Nine Energy Hype Timeline
Nine Energy Service is now traded for 1.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Nine is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.81. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.22%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.79%. The volatility of related hype on Nine Energy is about 13494.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.97. About 30.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.35. Nine Energy Service had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Nine Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Nine Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nine Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nine Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Nine Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nine Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
LBRT | Liberty Oilfield Services | (0.23) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.64 | (5.44) | 13.52 | |
ACDC | ProFrac Holding Corp | (0.24) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 6.02 | (8.62) | 24.95 | |
HLX | Helix Energy Solutions | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.30 | (4.75) | 10.71 | |
NR | Newpark Resources | (0.05) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.09 | (4.48) | 19.35 | |
PFIE | Profire Ene | (0.03) | 6 per month | 3.94 | 0.12 | 6.96 | (5.99) | 30.81 | |
ENSV | Enservco Co | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 9.09 | (7.69) | 29.74 | |
EFXT | Enerflex | (0.25) | 6 per month | 2.11 | 0.08 | 4.81 | (4.06) | 11.45 | |
GEOS | Geospace Technologies | 0.1 | 8 per month | 1.84 | 0.14 | 4.44 | (2.68) | 10.81 | |
WHD | Cactus Inc | (1.20) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.38 | (4.46) | 10.61 | |
CHX | ChampionX | 1.15 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.87 | (3.87) | 7.71 | |
NEX | Nextier Oilfield Solutions | 0.29 | 3 per month | 2.99 | 0.14 | 6.33 | (4.55) | 17.50 | |
DRQ | Dril Quip | 0.19 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.57 | (4.30) | 12.98 | |
SOI | Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure | (0.26) | 10 per month | 2.11 | 0.10 | 4.44 | (4.19) | 43.08 |
Nine Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nine price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nine using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nine charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Nine Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Nine Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nine Energy Service, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nine Energy based on analysis of Nine Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nine Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nine Energy's related companies. 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.003626 | 0.003223 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.15 | 0.14 |
Story Coverage note for Nine Energy
The number of cover stories for Nine Energy depends on current market conditions and Nine Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nine Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nine Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nine Energy Short Properties
Nine Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nine Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nine Energy Service often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nine Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nine Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.3 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 30.8 M |
Complementary Tools for Nine Stock analysis
When running Nine Energy's price analysis, check to measure Nine Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nine Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Nine Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nine Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nine Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nine Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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