Natural Health Trend Stock Price Prediction
| NHTC Stock | USD 5.63 0.03 0.54% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
71
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.80) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.007 |
Using Natural Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Natural Health Trend from the perspective of Natural Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Natural Health to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Natural because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Natural Health after-hype prediction price | USD 5.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Natural |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Natural Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Natural Health After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Natural Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Natural Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Natural Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Natural Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Natural Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Natural Health's historical news coverage. Natural Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.28 and 7.98, respectively. We have considered Natural Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Natural Health is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Natural Health Trend is based on 3 months time horizon.
Natural Health Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Natural Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Natural Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Natural Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 2.35 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.63 | 5.63 | 0.00 |
|
Natural Health Hype Timeline
Natural Health Trend is now traded for 5.63. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. Natural is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on Natural Health is about 1597.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.66. About 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.84. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Natural Health Trend last dividend was issued on the 12th of November 2024. The entity had 1:100 split on the 19th of March 2003. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Natural Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Natural Health Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Natural Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Natural Health's future price movements. Getting to know how Natural Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Natural Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IPAR | Inter Parfums | 3.88 | 7 per month | 1.95 | 0.02 | 2.55 | (3.01) | 8.04 | |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center | (0.35) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.28 | (4.61) | 31.55 | |
| YSG | Yatsen Holding | 0.57 | 3 per month | 2.73 | 0.1 | 6.21 | (4.79) | 13.97 | |
| EPC | Edgewell Personal Care | 0.16 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.17 | (2.72) | 6.00 | |
| EL | Estee Lauder Companies | (0.98) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.62 | (3.42) | 30.90 | |
| ELF | ELF Beauty | (2.42) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.98 | (6.38) | 17.98 | |
| NWL | Newell Brands | 0.17 | 9 per month | 1.98 | 0.08 | 5.38 | (2.79) | 27.25 |
Natural Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Natural price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Natural using various technical indicators. When you analyze Natural charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Natural Health Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Natural Health stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Natural Health Trend, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Natural Health based on analysis of Natural Health hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Natural Health's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Natural Health's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.23 | 0.14 | 0.08 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.79 | 1.53 | 0.97 |
Story Coverage note for Natural Health
The number of cover stories for Natural Health depends on current market conditions and Natural Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Natural Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Natural Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Natural Health Short Properties
Natural Health's future price predictability will typically decrease when Natural Health's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Natural Health Trend often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Natural Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Natural Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 56.2 M |
Complementary Tools for Natural Stock analysis
When running Natural Health's price analysis, check to measure Natural Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natural Health is operating at the current time. Most of Natural Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natural Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natural Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natural Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Global Markets Map Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes | |
| Analyst Advice Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories | |
| Portfolio Manager State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital | |
| Options Analysis Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios | |
| Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm | |
| Share Portfolio Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
| Financial Widgets Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets | |
| Performance Analysis Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation |