Moog Inc Stock Price Prediction

MOG-A Stock  USD 192.01  0.90  0.47%   
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Moog's share price is at 52. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Moog, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 52

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Moog's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Moog Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Moog's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.06)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.2367
EPS Estimate Current Year
8.1825
EPS Estimate Next Year
9.5
Wall Street Target Price
213.75
Using Moog hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Moog Inc from the perspective of Moog response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Moog using Moog's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Moog using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Moog's stock price.

Moog Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Moog's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Moog. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Moog stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
188.4979
Short Percent
0.0307
Short Ratio
4.16
Shares Short Prior Month
543 K
50 Day MA
181.7814

Moog Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Moog's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Moog. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Moog can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Moog Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Moog's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Moog.

Moog Implied Volatility

    
  0.41  
Moog's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Moog Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Moog's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Moog stock will not fluctuate a lot when Moog's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Moog to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Moog because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Moog after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 193.21  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Moog contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Moog Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0256% per day over the life of the 2025-09-19 option contract. With Moog trading at USD 192.01, that is roughly USD 0.0492 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Moog's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Moog Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.41%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Moog Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
172.81204.34205.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
189.94191.58193.22
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
194.51213.75237.26
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.072.142.31
Details

Moog After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Moog at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Moog or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Moog, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Moog Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Moog's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Moog's historical news coverage. Moog's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 191.57 and 194.85, respectively. We have considered Moog's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
192.01
191.57
Downside
193.21
After-hype Price
194.85
Upside
Moog is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Moog Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Moog Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Moog is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Moog backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Moog, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.31 
1.64
  0.21 
  0.79 
5 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
192.01
193.21
0.62 
244.78  
Notes

Moog Hype Timeline

Moog Inc is now traded for 192.01. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.79. Moog is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 193.21 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.62%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Moog is about 64.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 192.80. The company reported the revenue of 3.61 B. Net Income was 207.22 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 995.26 M. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out Moog Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Moog Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Moog's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Moog's future price movements. Getting to know how Moog's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Moog may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Moog Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Moog price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Moog using various technical indicators. When you analyze Moog charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Moog Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Moog stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Moog Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Moog based on analysis of Moog hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Moog's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Moog's related companies.
 2022 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0055290.0094760.0133
Price To Sales Ratio1.781.080.58

Story Coverage note for Moog

The number of cover stories for Moog depends on current market conditions and Moog's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Moog is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Moog's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Moog Short Properties

Moog's future price predictability will typically decrease when Moog's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Moog Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Moog's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Moog's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments61.7 M

Complementary Tools for Moog Stock analysis

When running Moog's price analysis, check to measure Moog's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Moog is operating at the current time. Most of Moog's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Moog's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Moog's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Moog to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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