Infosys Ltd Adr Stock Price Prediction

INFY Stock  USD 22.66  0.11  0.48%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Infosys' stock price is slightly above 63. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Infosys, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

63

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Infosys' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Infosys Ltd ADR, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Infosys' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.042
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.19
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.71
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.77
Wall Street Target Price
23.4062
Using Infosys hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Infosys Ltd ADR from the perspective of Infosys response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Infosys to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Infosys because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Infosys after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 22.76  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Infosys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.7920.1825.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.3722.7624.15
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
16.3317.9419.91
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.190.190.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Infosys. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Infosys' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Infosys' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Infosys Ltd ADR.

Infosys After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Infosys at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Infosys or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Infosys, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Infosys Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Infosys' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Infosys' historical news coverage. Infosys' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.37 and 24.15, respectively. We have considered Infosys' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
22.66
22.76
After-hype Price
24.15
Upside
Infosys is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Infosys Ltd ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.

Infosys Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Infosys is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Infosys backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Infosys, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
1.38
  0.01 
  0.10 
8 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
22.66
22.76
0.04 
690.00  
Notes

Infosys Hype Timeline

Infosys Ltd ADR is currently traded for 22.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.1. Infosys is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 22.76. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Infosys is about 71.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.56. The company last dividend was issued on the 29th of October 2024. Infosys Ltd ADR had 2:1 split on the 12th of September 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Infosys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Infosys Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Infosys' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Infosys' future price movements. Getting to know how Infosys' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Infosys may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CTSHCognizant Technology Solutions 0.36 9 per month 1.49  0.03  1.93 (1.89) 9.84 
TWKSThoughtworks Holding 0.00 10 per month 0.24  0.02  0.68 (0.46) 2.49 
WNSWNS Holdings 0.19 8 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.95 (4.07) 13.44 
CLVTCLARIVATE PLC(0.14)11 per month 0.00 (0.09) 5.41 (5.26) 30.83 
ITGartner(17.97)7 per month 0.00 (0.1) 1.37 (2.65) 7.71 
BRBroadridge Financial Solutions(0.49)10 per month 0.71  0.08  1.62 (1.14) 7.01 
FISVFiserv Inc(1.28)10 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.14 (1.80) 9.17 
CDWCDW Corp 4.83 10 per month 0.00 (0.18) 1.68 (3.07) 14.61 
EPAMEPAM Systems(3.29)10 per month 1.32  0.11  4.20 (2.49) 18.82 
IBMInternational Business Machines(8.87)7 per month 1.69  0  2.07 (2.63) 8.66 
FISFidelity National Information(1.19)7 per month 0.00 (0.06) 1.44 (2.06) 5.41 
JKHYJack Henry Associates(0.08)11 per month 0.94 (0.02) 1.41 (1.51) 5.03 
CACICACI International(0.56)11 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.31 (4.18) 14.84 
EXLSExlService Holdings 1.36 12 per month 0.74  0.18  2.56 (1.41) 9.94 

Infosys Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Infosys price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Infosys using various technical indicators. When you analyze Infosys charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Infosys Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Infosys stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Infosys Ltd ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Infosys based on analysis of Infosys hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Infosys's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Infosys's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01610.02340.02380.0135
Price To Sales Ratio6.483.994.033.82

Story Coverage note for Infosys

The number of cover stories for Infosys depends on current market conditions and Infosys' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Infosys is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Infosys' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Infosys Short Properties

Infosys' future price predictability will typically decrease when Infosys' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Infosys Ltd ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Infosys' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Infosys' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments3.4 B

Additional Tools for Infosys Stock Analysis

When running Infosys' price analysis, check to measure Infosys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Infosys is operating at the current time. Most of Infosys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Infosys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Infosys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Infosys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.