Guild Holdings Co Stock Price Prediction
| GHLD Stock | USD 19.84 0.01 0.05% |
Momentum 82
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4434 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.7234 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.0019 | Wall Street Target Price 18.6 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.1748 |
Using Guild Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Guild Holdings Co from the perspective of Guild Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Guild Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Guild Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Guild. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Guild can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Guild Holdings Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Guild Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Guild Holdings.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Guild Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Guild because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Guild Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 19.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Guild Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Guild Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Guild Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Guild Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Guild Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Guild Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Guild Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Guild Holdings' historical news coverage. Guild Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.58 and 24.06, respectively. We have considered Guild Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Guild Holdings is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Guild Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Guild Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Guild Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Guild Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Guild Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.77 | 4.24 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.84 | 19.82 | 0.10 |
|
Guild Holdings Hype Timeline
Guild Holdings is currently traded for 19.84. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Guild is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 19.82. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.77%. The volatility of related hype on Guild Holdings is about 21200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.86. About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.03. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Guild Holdings last dividend was issued on the 17th of March 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Guild Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Guild Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Guild Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Guild Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Guild Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Guild Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ONIT | Onity Group | (0.60) | 8 per month | 1.75 | 0.09 | 4.30 | (2.40) | 12.29 | |
| CNF | CNFinance Holdings | 0.81 | 3 per month | 5.27 | 0.01 | 10.91 | (9.52) | 34.88 | |
| SNFCA | Security National Financial | (0.03) | 5 per month | 2.10 | (0.08) | 3.68 | (3.48) | 9.61 | |
| ECPG | Encore Capital Group | (0.61) | 11 per month | 1.94 | 0.09 | 3.61 | (2.72) | 28.93 | |
| VEL | Velocity Financial Llc | 1.03 | 8 per month | 1.46 | (0.08) | 2.09 | (2.16) | 9.41 | |
| FOA | Finance of America | 0.29 | 10 per month | 2.10 | 0.09 | 6.07 | (3.94) | 14.78 | |
| STEP | Stepstone Group | (0.75) | 7 per month | 1.39 | 0.12 | 4.17 | (2.47) | 10.44 |
Guild Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Guild price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guild using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guild charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Guild Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Guild Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Guild Holdings Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Guild Holdings based on analysis of Guild Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Guild Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Guild Holdings's related companies. | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0355 | 0.0354 | 0.0441 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.53 | 0.74 | 1.2 |
Story Coverage note for Guild Holdings
The number of cover stories for Guild Holdings depends on current market conditions and Guild Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Guild Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Guild Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Guild Holdings Short Properties
Guild Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Guild Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Guild Holdings Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Guild Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guild Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 62.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 118.2 M |
Complementary Tools for Guild Stock analysis
When running Guild Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Guild Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guild Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Guild Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guild Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guild Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guild Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Stock Tickers Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites | |
| Portfolio Optimization Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk | |
| Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets | |
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
| Headlines Timeline Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity | |
| Commodity Channel Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum | |
| ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world | |
| Equity Forecasting Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum |